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10Y / TLT

37 Views
Editorial Representation of Jurrien Timmer Jurrien Timmer LONG-HORIZON MACRO
BULLISH Moderate
TLT
Long bonds have become a viable asset class again, offering high real yields and a current port in the storm despite unreliable anti-correlation. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Year 1d
Editorial Representation of Michael Kantrowitz Michael Kantrowitz HOPE CYCLE
BULLISH Moderate
TLT
Rates are coming down as the beta bubble in stocks deflates, favoring lower Treasury yields in the near term. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 1d
Editorial Representation of Steve Hanke Steve Hanke MONEY SUPPLY
BEARISH Strong
TLT
Foreign Treasury purchases have fallen sharply in 2026, with countries aligned with the US cutting buying more than 60% and Japan down 99%. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Year 2d
Editorial Representation of Luke Gromen Luke Gromen FISCAL DOMINANCE
BEARISH Moderate
TLT
Long-term Treasury yields rose sharply after a 25-basis-point rate increase, leaving policymakers constrained and uncertain about their next move. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Month 3d
Editorial Representation of Ben Carlson Ben Carlson ALLOCATION · BEHAVIOUR
BULLISH Strong
TLT
Long bonds are attractive for portfolio allocation after the worst decade for bond returns, with yields now at their highest levels in 20 years. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Year 3d
Editorial Representation of Mohamed El-Erian Mohamed El-Erian FED · POLICY ERROR
BEARISH Moderate
TLT
US Treasuries face a shifting buyer base as historically dependable foreign holders pull back, leaving more tactical, short-term investors and traders. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Year 3d
Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts Lance Roberts MACRO · POSITIONING
BEARISH Moderate
TLT
Treasury yields face upward pressure as rising oil prices lift inflation expectations, leaving long-bond prices vulnerable to decline. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Month 5d
Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff Peter Schiff AUSTRIAN · GOLD
BEARISH Strong
TLT
Long-term Treasury prices face pressure as larger budget deficits contribute to higher long-term interest rates, including mortgage rates. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Year 5d
Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough Keith McCullough QUAD REGIME · FUNNEL
BULLISH Moderate
TLT
Long bonds are a favored ETF exposure while many consensus equity positions have struggled, supporting a constructive duration stance rather than a fresh call. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Month 7d
Editorial Representation of Bob Elliott Bob Elliott MACRO ALLOCATION
BULLISH Moderate
TLT
Bonds could be a good buy in this environment, implying higher long-duration Treasury prices and lower yields over the coming weeks. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Month 7d
Editorial Representation of Brian Shannon Brian Shannon TECHNICAL · AVWAP
BULLISH Moderate
TLT
Bonds are likely to settle after the yield decline, with the worst of the recent bond weakness probably behind them for at least a few weeks. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 8d
Editorial Representation of Jim Bianco Jim Bianco RATES & FIXED INCOME
BEARISH Strong
TLT
Long-term Treasury yields should align near 5% because persistent 3% inflation and 5% nominal growth justify matching interest rates. LEVELS · TARGET 5 $TLT
Year 8d
Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Darius Dale REGIME NOWCAST · FUNNEL
BEARISH Strong
TLT
US Treasury securities are likely to decline as Japan’s Ministry of Finance sells them to defend a weakening yen amid fewer Bank of Japan hikes. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Year 8d
Editorial Representation of Peter Reznicek Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES
BULLISH Moderate
TLT
Long-duration Treasury prices surged as yields collapsed, though it remains unclear whether the move marks a major change in trend. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 8d
Editorial Representation of Liz Ann Sonders Liz Ann Sonders US EQUITY MACRO
BULLISH Moderate
TLT
10-year Treasury yields are moving lower primarily on growth concerns rather than inflation, supporting a flight-to-safety trade alongside a less negative stock-bond correlation. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 8d
Editorial Representation of Jeffrey Snider Jeffrey Snider DOLLAR LIQUIDITY
BULLISH Strong
TLT
Treasuries should rally as fading September technical pressure, AI credit anxiety, and weakening economic fundamentals drive yields lower and flatten the curve. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 9d
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller TECHNICAL · FINAL BAR
BULLISH Strong
TLT
$TLT is moving higher toward $82 as investors flock to Treasury safety and the 10-year bond’s yield amid declining rates. LEVELS · TARGET 82
Month 9d
Editorial Representation of Jason Shapiro Jason Shapiro POSITIONING · COT
BEARISH Moderate
TLT
Long bonds are still expected to make new lows, despite the current flight-to-safety rally occurring as stocks weaken sharply. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Month 9d
Editorial Representation of JC Parets JC Parets INTERMARKET · RS
BULLISH Strong
TLT
Long-duration Treasuries continue rallying as rates keep falling, defying widespread expectations for a sustained rising-rate environment and a bond-market blowup. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 9d
Editorial Representation of David Rosenberg David Rosenberg RECESSION RISK
BULLISH Strong
TLT
Treasuries offer more than a 3% real yield versus roughly a 2.5% equity earnings yield, making an allocation away from the S&P 500 compelling. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Month 11d
Editorial Representation of Danielle DiMartino Booth Danielle DiMartino Booth LABOR INTERNALS
BULLISH Moderate
TLT
Anxiety around the AI trade can trigger a flight to quality into U.S. Treasuries, supporting long-duration bond prices. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 12d
Editorial Representation of David Woo David Woo RATES · FX · GEOPOLITICS
BEARISH Moderate
TLT
A major AI-related incident may become the biggest downside risk to US interest rates, and markets are not pricing even a small probability of that event. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Year 13d
Editorial Representation of Joseph Wang Joseph Wang FED PLUMBING
BULLISH Strong
TLT
Long-duration Treasuries are the preferred hedge into a dicey period marked by geopolitical risk, higher energy prices, and cracks in AI. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 14d
Editorial Representation of Chris Ciovacco Chris Ciovacco TREND · CYCLE
BULLISH Weak
TLT
The 10-year yield has not broken to the other side of its chart range, and remaining lower would be better for equity bulls. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 14d
Editorial Representation of Peter Brandt Peter Brandt CLASSICAL CHARTING
BEARISH Strong
TLT
Long-dated Treasury yields remain in a major uptrend toward roughly 8% on the 30-year, despite a possible near-term correction toward 5.25%. LEVELS · TARGET 8 · SUPPORT 5.25 $TLT
Year 16d
Editorial Representation of Brent Kochuba Brent Kochuba GAMMA · 0DTE · FUNNEL
BULLISH Moderate
TLT
$TLT options show elevated volatility but call-side skew, signaling positioning for a bond bounce and lower yields rather than a marked rise in rates. DIRECTION ONLY
Month 16d
Editorial Representation of Andreas Steno Larsen Andreas Steno Larsen GLOBAL MACRO
BULLISH Moderate
TLT
Long-duration Treasury prices are rising as bond yields fall despite high inflation, reflecting an unusually challenging macro trading backdrop. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 16d
Editorial Representation of Cem Karsan Cem Karsan DEALER GAMMA · VOL
BEARISH Moderate
TLT
Heavy AI infrastructure CapEx pushes real yields higher, with the bond market becoming an active ceiling on equity valuations. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Month 17d
Editorial Representation of Charlie Bilello Charlie Bilello DATA · BREADTH
BULLISH Strong
TLT
Long bonds offer their highest prospective returns since 2002 as higher starting yields have historically correlated strongly with higher future seven-year returns. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Year 17d
Editorial Representation of Mike Green Mike Green PASSIVE FLOWS · STRUCTURE
BEARISH Strong
TLT
Long-duration Treasuries face growing effective duration supply and convexity risk without matching passive-bond demand, creating an inverse-March-2000-style structural endgame. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Year 18d
Editorial Representation of Brent Johnson Brent Johnson DOLLAR MILKSHAKE
BEARISH Moderate
TLT
US interest rates should rise over the years ahead, although global rates are expected to rise even more and hit other economies harder. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Year 23d
Editorial Representation of Mark Newton Mark Newton INSTITUTIONAL TECHNICALS
BULLISH Moderate
TLT
Rates are pulling back alongside crude weakness, a near-term development supportive of long-duration Treasury prices despite broader tape deterioration. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 23d
Editorial Representation of Nick Timiraos Nick Timiraos FED REPORTER · ANCHOR
BEARISH Strong
TLT
Long-term interest rates are rising rather than falling as elevated deficits and intensifying price pressures undermine the White House fiscal-restraint theory. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Month 33d
Editorial Representation of Peter Boockvar Peter Boockvar DATA REACTION
BEARISH Strong
TLT
Treasury bond bear market continues after a weak five-year auction, with the 10-year yield at 5.12% and 30-year yield near 5.40%. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 38d
Editorial Representation of Tom Lee Tom Lee US EQUITY STRATEGY
BULLISH Moderate
TLT
Long-end Treasury yields may soon subside as inflation concerns that have steepened the yield curve begin to fade. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Week 78d
Editorial Representation of Michael Howell Michael Howell GLOBAL LIQUIDITY
BEARISH Strong
TLT
Ten-year Treasury yields could test 6% in the not-too-distant future as accelerating nominal GDP growth pulls underlying US interest rates higher. LEVELS · TARGET 6 $TLT
Month 79d
Editorial Representation of Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni EARNINGS · PRODUCTIVITY
BEARISH Moderate
TLT
Long-duration Treasuries face downside risk if bond vigilantes push yields higher in response to escalating government debt and continued fiscal bailouts. DIRECTION ONLY $TLT
Year 81d

2Y / SHY

17 Views
Editorial Representation of Jeffrey Snider Jeffrey Snider DOLLAR LIQUIDITY
BEARISH Strong
SHY
2-year Treasury yields will climb as energy-price swings prompt an outsized Fed clampdown even while the economy weakens. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Week 3d
Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough Keith McCullough QUAD REGIME · FUNNEL
TIGHTER Moderate
SHY
The yield curve should continue flattening as markets price additional rate hikes after the midterm political event concludes. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Month 11d
Editorial Representation of Ben Carlson Ben Carlson ALLOCATION · BEHAVIOUR
NEUTRAL Neutral
SHY
Interest rates are unlikely to settle at a stable normal level, leaving the appropriate long-term level for the economy uncertain. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Year 15d
Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff Peter Schiff AUSTRIAN · GOLD
TIGHTER Strong
SHY
Mortgage rates are expected to rise from 7.5% to 8.5%, deepening mortgage lenders’ mark-to-market losses toward $3 trillion. LEVELS · TARGET 8.5 $SHY
Year 16d
Editorial Representation of Bob Elliott Bob Elliott MACRO ALLOCATION
BEARISH Moderate
SHY
Short-end Treasury yields are rising as rate expectations reset higher, driving the curve’s upward shift rather than a long-end buyers strike. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Week 17d
Editorial Representation of Jim Bianco Jim Bianco RATES & FIXED INCOME
BEARISH Strong
SHY
The neutral federal funds rate is likely around 4.5%, implying short-term interest rates should remain materially higher than current easy-policy assumptions. LEVELS · TARGET 4.5 $SHY
Year 17d
Editorial Representation of Danielle DiMartino Booth Danielle DiMartino Booth LABOR INTERNALS
EASIER Moderate
SHY
Future overnight rates are expected to decline, as negative SOFR swap spreads leave fixed rates below comparable Treasury yields. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Month 26d
Editorial Representation of Mohamed El-Erian Mohamed El-Erian FED · POLICY ERROR
BULLISH Moderate
SHY
Two-year Treasury yields have continued retracing as traders moderate Fed rate-hike expectations ahead of CPI inflation on October 14. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Week 29d
Editorial Representation of Peter Brandt Peter Brandt CLASSICAL CHARTING
BULLISH Moderate
SHY
The 2-Year Note should become the nation’s interest-rate benchmark because it has consistently outperformed Federal Reserve policymakers as a signal. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Year 35d
Editorial Representation of Mike Green Mike Green PASSIVE FLOWS · STRUCTURE
TIGHTER Moderate
SHY
Short-term rate expectations are being revised higher, rather than markets becoming nervous about holding long-term debt amid current Treasury-market moves. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Week 39d
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller TECHNICAL · FINAL BAR
BEARISH Strong
SHY
Two-year yields are still rising, signaling the market expects the Fed is not finished raising rates over the next 6 to 12 months. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Year 40d
Editorial Representation of Luke Gromen Luke Gromen FISCAL DOMINANCE
BEARISH Strong
SHY
Two-year Treasury yields have risen 130 basis points and continue climbing since the US attack on Iran, driven by consequences of Trump’s actions. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Week 45d
Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts Lance Roberts MACRO · POSITIONING
BEARISH Moderate
SHY
Private business investment relative to GDP points to rising corporate borrowing demand, allowing lenders to lift borrowing costs as productive investment expands. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Year 58d
Editorial Representation of Joseph Wang Joseph Wang FED PLUMBING
BEARISH Strong
SHY
Short-term rates are likely to rise as Fed funds futures imply about two rate hikes over the coming year. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Year 63d
Editorial Representation of David Rosenberg David Rosenberg RECESSION RISK
BULLISH Strong
SHY
The two- and three-year Treasury area offers an attractive opportunity as pricing for at least one additional hike is expected to unwind. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Month 72d
Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Darius Dale REGIME NOWCAST · FUNNEL
BEARISH Moderate
SHY
The 2-year nominal Treasury yield remains bearish in the volatility-adjusted momentum and probable-range models, preserving a negative near-term signal for short-duration Treasuries. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Week 72d
Editorial Representation of Chris Ciovacco Chris Ciovacco TREND · CYCLE
BULLISH Moderate
SHY
Short-term Treasury bonds relative to the S&P 500 are making a new all-time low, signaling investor confidence rather than defensive positioning. DIRECTION ONLY $SHY
Month 78d

High Yield

18 Views
Editorial Representation of Jeffrey Snider Jeffrey Snider DOLLAR LIQUIDITY
BEARISH Strong
HYG
Triple-C credit stress has accelerated after building for more than a year, with spreads near 1,300 basis points signaling rising refinancing and repayment doubts. LEVELS · RESISTANCE 1300 $HYG
Year 2d
Editorial Representation of Jurrien Timmer Jurrien Timmer LONG-HORIZON MACRO
BEARISH Moderate
HYG
Credit spreads are widening as markets impose capital discipline, while a datacenter-buildout slowdown could weaken semiconductor demand and expose circular AI earnings. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Month 3d
Editorial Representation of Liz Ann Sonders Liz Ann Sonders US EQUITY MACRO
BEARISH Strong
HYG
Technology borrowing costs have increased significantly, with option-adjusted spreads on iBoxx USD Technology and Telecommunications indices widening sharply this month. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Month 5d
Editorial Representation of Danielle DiMartino Booth Danielle DiMartino Booth LABOR INTERNALS
BEARISH Strong
HYG
Credit spreads could widen enough to raise borrowing costs by a net 2 percentage points even if Treasury yields fall 1 percentage point. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Month 9d
Editorial Representation of Jim Bianco Jim Bianco RATES & FIXED INCOME
BULLISH Moderate
HYG
Credit markets are surviving well despite prior private-credit failures, and $CRWV is unlikely to be a canary for broader credit problems. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Month 11d
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller TECHNICAL · FINAL BAR
BEARISH Strong
HYG
High-yield spreads continue to widen this week, signaling risks that major equity benchmarks have not yet priced in. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Week 11d
Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff Peter Schiff AUSTRIAN · GOLD
BEARISH Strong
HYG
High-yield credit has weakened as corporate bond yields rise, particularly for weaker companies, with lowest-rated bond yields reaching their highest level since 2022. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Month 13d
Editorial Representation of Chris Ciovacco Chris Ciovacco TREND · CYCLE
BEARISH Moderate
HYG
High-yield bonds have fallen below their 200-day moving average, and a prolonged stay below that level would become increasingly concerning. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Month 14d
Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts Lance Roberts MACRO · POSITIONING
BEARISH Moderate
HYG
Credit spreads are flashing yellow as CCC stress widens, but a major credit event requires faster deterioration spreading into investment-grade debt. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Week 15d
Editorial Representation of Charlie Bilello Charlie Bilello DATA · BREADTH
BEARISH Strong
HYG
Credit spreads for the weakest US companies have widened to 12.52%, their broadest level in nearly four years despite booming AI-related stocks. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Month 20d
Editorial Representation of Cem Karsan Cem Karsan DEALER GAMMA · VOL
BEARISH Strong
HYG
Credit conditions are deteriorating as Oracle, SpaceX, Meta-linked data-center, and Paramount debt shows sharply wider spreads and record-low bond prices. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Week 24d
Editorial Representation of JC Parets JC Parets INTERMARKET · RS
BEARISH Strong
HYG
The weakest junk-bond credits are deteriorating, with CCC and B-rated spreads showing the most pronounced stress across lower-quality high-yield debt markets. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Week 25d
Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Darius Dale REGIME NOWCAST · FUNNEL
BULLISH Moderate
HYG
Private-credit weakness reflects technical supply-demand flows rather than broad credit-cycle risk, with underlying borrowers and the economy remaining healthy. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Month 26d
Editorial Representation of Mohamed El-Erian Mohamed El-Erian FED · POLICY ERROR
BEARISH Moderate
HYG
High-grade credit is losing its perceived safety as record borrowing and inflation concerns raise the risk that interest-rate stress morphs into wider credit spreads. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Month 29d
Editorial Representation of Peter Boockvar Peter Boockvar DATA REACTION
BEARISH Moderate
HYG
Refinancing pressure will intensify for debt maturing this year and next, as loans priced before 2022 reset at far higher borrowing costs. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Year 33d
Editorial Representation of Jason Shapiro Jason Shapiro POSITIONING · COT
BEARISH Strong
HYG
Credit spreads could keep widening as rising interest rates make financing increasingly difficult for AI companies and undermine the investment thesis. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Month 61d
Editorial Representation of David Woo David Woo RATES · FX · GEOPOLITICS
BEARISH Moderate
HYG
High-yield credit is vulnerable to renewed oil strength, with higher crude prices increasingly acting as a binding constraint on the risk trade. DIRECTION ONLY $HYG
Week 62d
Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough Keith McCullough QUAD REGIME · FUNNEL
BULLISH Moderate
HYG
High-yield credit is signaling a Quad 1 environment, implying tighter spreads and a constructive near-term backdrop for $HYG. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 66d

The Dollar

25 Views
Editorial Representation of Peter Boockvar Peter Boockvar DATA REACTION
BEARISH Moderate
DXY
US dollar should weaken if the Fed skips another hike, as global investors are long US technology stocks and would have less reason to own dollars. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Month 1d
Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough Keith McCullough QUAD REGIME · FUNNEL
BULLISH Strong
DXY
USD remains a long position and continues rising, reinforcing a near-term bullish dollar thesis as gold moves lower. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Week 2d
Editorial Representation of Steve Hanke Steve Hanke MONEY SUPPLY
BULLISH Strong
DXY
The Venezuelan bolivar has depreciated 69% against the U.S. dollar over the past year, supporting official dollarization as a replacement. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Year 4d
Editorial Representation of Jurrien Timmer Jurrien Timmer LONG-HORIZON MACRO
BEARISH Strong
DXY
The dollar would take a hit if Treasury repriced gold reserves to expand its cash balance without issuing additional debt. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Year 8d
Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Darius Dale REGIME NOWCAST · FUNNEL
BULLISH Strong
DXY
The Japanese yen is likely to weaken as investors anticipate fewer Bank of Japan rate hikes than the three increases priced over the next 12 months. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Year 8d
Editorial Representation of Luke Gromen Luke Gromen FISCAL DOMINANCE
BULLISH Moderate
DXY
The dollar would strengthen if a German or European energy crisis weakens the euro, potentially triggering higher long-term Treasury yields after an initial safety bid. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Week 9d
Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts Lance Roberts MACRO · POSITIONING
BULLISH Moderate
DXY
The dollar should strengthen as overseas instability drives demand for safety in dollar-denominated assets and Treasuries, while international growth lags the United States. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Month 10d
Editorial Representation of JC Parets JC Parets INTERMARKET · RS
BEARISH Moderate
DXY
U.S. dollar could collapse into year-end, potentially providing a bullish tailwind for U.S. equities through the final months. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Month 10d
Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff Peter Schiff AUSTRIAN · GOLD
BEARISH Strong
DXY
America’s debt spiral could culminate in a dollar crisis as rising interest costs fuel massive deficits, a long-standing structural thesis. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Year 12d
Editorial Representation of David Woo David Woo RATES · FX · GEOPOLITICS
BEARISH Moderate
DXY
A major AI-related incident may become the biggest downside risk to the US dollar, with markets not pricing even a small probability of this risk. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Year 13d
Editorial Representation of Jeffrey Snider Jeffrey Snider DOLLAR LIQUIDITY
BULLISH Strong
DXY
The dollar is getting stronger as tightening global credit forces dollar borrowers to secure funding for existing debt service rather than reflecting US economic strength. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Month 15d
Editorial Representation of Andreas Steno Larsen Andreas Steno Larsen GLOBAL MACRO
BULLISH Moderate
DXY
The dollar is likely to strengthen further against the yen as a hawkish Fed forces the Bank of Japan to catch up with additional tightening. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Month 15d
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller TECHNICAL · FINAL BAR
BULLISH Strong
DXY
Dollar Index remains in a remarkably consistent uptrend since the second week of September, despite an afternoon rollover from roughly 103. LEVELS · RESISTANCE 103 $DXY$UUP
Month 17d
Editorial Representation of Mark Newton Mark Newton INSTITUTIONAL TECHNICALS
BEARISH Moderate
DXY
The dollar could weaken into the November-through-April stretch, a move expected to benefit emerging markets alongside a stronger global equity backdrop. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Year 18d
Editorial Representation of Brent Johnson Brent Johnson DOLLAR MILKSHAKE
BULLISH Strong
DXY
The dollar should return to much higher levels as global dollar demand persists, though a short-term pullback remains possible. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Year 23d
Editorial Representation of Peter Reznicek Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES
BULLISH Moderate
DXY
The dollar is not backing off and continued strength should pressure gold as higher rates keep supporting the currency. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Week 30d
Editorial Representation of Jason Shapiro Jason Shapiro POSITIONING · COT
BEARISH Moderate
DXY
The dollar is currently holding markets together but would likely fail miserably if authorities intervene to support bonds. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Month 31d
Editorial Representation of Mohamed El-Erian Mohamed El-Erian FED · POLICY ERROR
BULLISH Moderate
DXY
The US dollar is likely to strengthen as persistent price shocks force monetary tightening without meaningful fiscal consolidation. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Year 33d
Editorial Representation of Joseph Wang Joseph Wang FED PLUMBING
BULLISH Moderate
DXY
The dollar remains structurally supported because foreign investors need dollars to access US financial markets, a long-standing position rather than a fresh call. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Year 35d
Editorial Representation of Julien Bittel Julien Bittel LIQUIDITY · CYCLES
BEARISH Strong
DXY
The dollar should fall as the yield curve bull steepens, short-end rates decline, and easing oil, rates, and hedging demand release global liquidity. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Month 36d
Editorial Representation of Jim Bianco Jim Bianco RATES & FIXED INCOME
BULLISH Moderate
DXY
Foreign stablecoin adoption could create substantial new dollar demand as people outside the United States use dollar-backed tokens as an entry into dollars. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Year 37d
Editorial Representation of Bob Elliott Bob Elliott MACRO ALLOCATION
BEARISH Moderate
DXY
Yen durability is more likely to come from fostering Japan’s nascent positive growth trajectory than from rate hikes, creating a weaker dollar backdrop. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Year 55d
Editorial Representation of Charlie Bilello Charlie Bilello DATA · BREADTH
BEARISH Strong
DXY
The dollar would collapse if trillions of dollars were printed and distributed by helicopter, despite a temporary boost to nominal GDP. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Year 60d
Editorial Representation of Danielle DiMartino Booth Danielle DiMartino Booth LABOR INTERNALS
NEUTRAL Neutral
DXY
The dollar is likely to hover unless Treasury buybacks become materially larger, as a bigger program would be needed for another major decline. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Month 64d
Editorial Representation of Michael Howell Michael Howell GLOBAL LIQUIDITY
BEARISH Moderate
DXY
The dollar would weaken if Treasury funding shifts further toward bills, a policy response that would also amplify front-end liquidity pressures. DIRECTION ONLY $DXY$UUP
Month 79d

Gold

34 Views
Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff Peter Schiff AUSTRIAN · GOLD
BULLISH Strong
GLD
Gold’s near-$150 decline reflects a short-term liquidity problem likely to spread into broader markets as soon as next week, creating an unexpected opportunity to add exposure. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Week 1d
Editorial Representation of Luke Gromen Luke Gromen FISCAL DOMINANCE
BEARISH Moderate
GLD
Precious metals should sell off whenever US real rates reach +2%, a recurring fiscal-dominance symptom rather than a fresh call. LEVELS · RESISTANCE 2 $GLD
Week 1d
Editorial Representation of Brian Shannon Brian Shannon TECHNICAL · AVWAP
BULLISH Moderate
GLD
Gold remains aligned with the bullish outlook outlined last Friday, with an updated near-term technical outlook maintained for $GLD. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 1d
Editorial Representation of Peter Boockvar Peter Boockvar DATA REACTION
BULLISH Moderate
GLD
Gold should end its corrective move from the January peak if real interest rates fall following a Fed decision not to raise rates in December. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Month 1d
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller TECHNICAL · FINAL BAR
BEARISH Moderate
GLD
Gold remains in a downtrend phase below its third decelerating trendline, with any break signaling a potential change in the pace of decline. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Week 2d
Editorial Representation of Charlie Bilello Charlie Bilello DATA · BREADTH
BEARISH Moderate
GLD
Gold is down 7.5% so far in 2026, making it one of the two worst-performing major assets in an unprecedented calendar-year start. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Year 6d
Editorial Representation of Jurrien Timmer Jurrien Timmer LONG-HORIZON MACRO
BULLISH Moderate
GLD
Gold remains a constructive real-asset holding as even a remote prospect of Treasury gold repricing underscores risks from desperate government actions. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Year 8d
Editorial Representation of Peter Reznicek Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES
BEARISH Moderate
GLD
Gold faces somewhat more downside for longer-term holders before an upturn, as capital rotates toward still-high bond yields. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Month 8d
Editorial Representation of JC Parets JC Parets INTERMARKET · RS
BEARISH Moderate
GLD
Gold is not a hedge against inflation and remains a long-standing bearish view rather than a fresh call. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Month 8d
Editorial Representation of Peter Brandt Peter Brandt CLASSICAL CHARTING
BEARISH Weak
GLD
Gold could erase its entire 2025 advance, though this is presented as a possibility rather than a forecast. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Month 8d
Editorial Representation of Tom Lee Tom Lee US EQUITY STRATEGY
BULLISH Moderate
GLD
$GLD faces a potential quantum-day catalyst, implying a sharp upside price move if the referenced development proves true. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 9d
Editorial Representation of Jason Shapiro Jason Shapiro POSITIONING · COT
BEARISH Moderate
GLD
Gold has traded poorly despite the bond rally, and positioning has not become favorable enough to justify involvement. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Week 9d
Editorial Representation of Mike Green Mike Green PASSIVE FLOWS · STRUCTURE
BEARISH Moderate
GLD
Gold prices face a modest net negative if Marathon successfully manufactures gold, creating a low-cost producer through transmutation. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Year 9d
Editorial Representation of Lyn Alden Lyn Alden FISCAL · LIQUIDITY · BITCOIN
BULLISH Strong
GLD
Gold's bull market remains on track over the longer term despite a period when prices got ahead of themselves. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Year 11d
Editorial Representation of Steve Hanke Steve Hanke MONEY SUPPLY
BULLISH Strong
GLD
Gold is positioned for appreciation, expressed as a long-standing preference for holding bullion rather than a fresh call. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Year 12d
Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough Keith McCullough QUAD REGIME · FUNNEL
BEARISH Strong
GLD
Gold remains bearish on both trade and trend measures after falling another 0.5%, maintaining a near-term downside view. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Week 19d
Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Darius Dale REGIME NOWCAST · FUNNEL
BULLISH Strong
GLD
Gold should replace bonds as a core diversifier in the current structural macro regime, reducing drawdown and correlation risk versus traditional 60/40 portfolios. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Year 22d
Editorial Representation of Brent Johnson Brent Johnson DOLLAR MILKSHAKE
BULLISH Moderate
GLD
Gold should make a fairly big move higher over the next few weeks after momentum faded and a golden cross formed. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Week 23d
Editorial Representation of Jim Bianco Jim Bianco RATES & FIXED INCOME
NEUTRAL Neutral
GLD
Gold trading has become excessively paperized, producing extreme upside and downside moves that can obscure otherwise positive underlying fundamentals. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Month 25d
Editorial Representation of David Rosenberg David Rosenberg RECESSION RISK
BULLISH Strong
GLD
Gold remains in a secular bull market despite the correction, supported by continuing central-bank reserve diversification away from US dollars. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Year 30d
Editorial Representation of Dan Nathan Dan Nathan OPTIONS POSITIONING
BEARISH Moderate
GLD
Gold’s current setup is unfavorable, signaling near-term downside risk and a deteriorating technical backdrop rather than a constructive bullish one. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Week 33d
Editorial Representation of Julien Bittel Julien Bittel LIQUIDITY · CYCLES
BULLISH Strong
GLD
Gold should run as a bull steepener lowers the dollar and short rates, releasing liquidity once oil, rates, and currency hedging pressures ease. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Month 36d
Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts Lance Roberts MACRO · POSITIONING
BEARISH Strong
GLD
Gold would be liquidated for dollar exposure in a severe 8% 10-year yield scenario, leaving no asset class performing well. LEVELS · TARGET 8 $GLD
Year 37d
Editorial Representation of David Woo David Woo RATES · FX · GEOPOLITICS
BULLISH Moderate
GLD
Gold would rise if the fragile China truce breaks down or an AI-enabled security failure triggers a broader risk shock. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Year 41d
Editorial Representation of Danielle DiMartino Booth Danielle DiMartino Booth LABOR INTERNALS
BULLISH Strong
GLD
Precious metals offer the only reliable refuge as private-credit defaults, bankruptcies, and broader credit-market stress intensify under high interest rates. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Month 44d
Editorial Representation of Bob Elliott Bob Elliott MACRO ALLOCATION
BULLISH Moderate
GLD
Gold benefits as policymakers risk allowing inflationary pressures to pervade the economy rather than delivering sufficient monetary tightening. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Month 57d
Editorial Representation of Jeffrey Snider Jeffrey Snider DOLLAR LIQUIDITY
BULLISH Strong
GLD
Diesel prices are set to remain exceptionally expensive if disrupted Middle Eastern flows, restricted Russian exports, and weak Chinese exports persist into seasonal demand. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Month 59d
Editorial Representation of Cem Karsan Cem Karsan DEALER GAMMA · VOL
BEARISH Strong
GLD
Gold is expected to decline over the near term, with long bonds and US stocks also projected to weaken materially. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Week 64d
Editorial Representation of Liz Ann Sonders Liz Ann Sonders US EQUITY MACRO
BULLISH Moderate
GLD
Gold has reached a three-month high as the debasement trade returns alongside expanded long-dated Treasury buybacks, reviving fiscal-policy and dollar-credibility concerns. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Month 68d
Editorial Representation of Brent Kochuba Brent Kochuba GAMMA · 0DTE · FUNNEL
BULLISH Moderate
GLD
$GLD call buying has surged over the last few weeks as gold approaches January highs reached when it broke $5,000. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 70d
Editorial Representation of Mohamed El-Erian Mohamed El-Erian FED · POLICY ERROR
BULLISH Moderate
GLD
Gold has continued its rebound in morning trading, topping $4,600 per ounce amid notable market price moves across the session. LEVELS · TARGET 4600 $GLD
Week 71d
Editorial Representation of Joseph Wang Joseph Wang FED PLUMBING
BULLISH Moderate
GLD
Gold has broken above its 200-day moving average, reinforcing a near-term bullish technical setup amid the administration's “Golden Age” messaging. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Week 73d
Editorial Representation of Michael Howell Michael Howell GLOBAL LIQUIDITY
BULLISH Strong
GLD
Gold should continue attracting demand as China expands liquidity to manage domestic debt, with Chinese monetary conditions increasingly setting global gold pricing. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Year 79d
Editorial Representation of Chris Ciovacco Chris Ciovacco TREND · CYCLE
BULLISH Moderate
GLD
Gold remains favored on a long-term basis despite its pullback, though incremental additions warrant patience until resistance near prior volume-weighted entry areas clears. DIRECTION ONLY $GLD
Month 84d

Silver

12 Views
Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff Peter Schiff AUSTRIAN · GOLD
BULLISH Strong
SLV
Silver’s over-$3 decline reflects a short-term liquidity problem likely to spread into broader markets as soon as next week, creating an unexpected opportunity to add exposure. DIRECTION ONLY $SLV
Week 1d
Editorial Representation of Peter Brandt Peter Brandt CLASSICAL CHARTING
BULLISH Moderate
SLV
Silver’s purge of holders who bought above $90–$100 and are now selling is forming the early stages of a durable market bottom. DIRECTION ONLY $SLV
Month 1d
Editorial Representation of Andreas Steno Larsen Andreas Steno Larsen GLOBAL MACRO
BULLISH Moderate
SLV
Silver has reached the $50 level within a year, validating a long-standing bullish position rather than a fresh call. LEVELS · TARGET 50 $SLV
Year 1d
Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough Keith McCullough QUAD REGIME · FUNNEL
BEARISH Strong
SLV
Silver is down another 3% this morning, extending the ongoing crash to 57% below its prior cycle peak. DIRECTION ONLY $SLV
Week 1d
Editorial Representation of Jason Shapiro Jason Shapiro POSITIONING · COT
BEARISH Strong
SLV
Silver is making new lows as positioning remains unfavorable, undermining the thesis that it should benefit from artificial intelligence strength. DIRECTION ONLY $SLV
Week 9d
Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Darius Dale REGIME NOWCAST · FUNNEL
BEARISH Strong
SLV
Silver is accelerating to the downside and breaking to new lows as monetary policy and liquidity cycles turn from tailwinds into meaningful headwinds. DIRECTION ONLY $SLV
Month 9d
Editorial Representation of Lyn Alden Lyn Alden FISCAL · LIQUIDITY · BITCOIN
BULLISH Moderate
SLV
Silver stands to benefit over the long term from trends supporting competing stores of value and hard assets. DIRECTION ONLY $SLV
Year 11d
Editorial Representation of Charlie Bilello Charlie Bilello DATA · BREADTH
BULLISH Weak
SLV
Silver has risen 5% over the last year, indicating a modestly higher price trend even as precious-metals performance remains mixed. DIRECTION ONLY $SLV
Year 14d
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller TECHNICAL · FINAL BAR
BEARISH Moderate
SLV
Silver remains in a technical distribution phase as the stronger dollar creates a major headwind, following a decline of almost 6%. DIRECTION ONLY $SLV
Week 17d
Editorial Representation of Luke Gromen Luke Gromen FISCAL DOMINANCE
BULLISH Strong
SLV
Silver demand from solar, batteries, EVs, and broader electrification is likely stronger than current expectations despite its decline from prior highs. DIRECTION ONLY $SLV
Year 23d
Editorial Representation of Jim Bianco Jim Bianco RATES & FIXED INCOME
NEUTRAL Neutral
SLV
Silver trading has become excessively paperized, producing extreme upside and downside moves that can obscure otherwise positive underlying fundamentals. DIRECTION ONLY $SLV
Month 25d
Editorial Representation of Michael Howell Michael Howell GLOBAL LIQUIDITY
BULLISH Strong
SLV
Silver prices should strengthen alongside gold as Chinese monetary expansion renews momentum across the precious-metals complex and supports further demand. DIRECTION ONLY $SLV
Year 81d

Copper

16 Views
Editorial Representation of Steve Hanke Steve Hanke MONEY SUPPLY
BULLISH Strong
CPER
Copper is supported by a record Yangshan premium above $200 per ton, signaling strong Chinese demand for imported metal. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Month 18h
Editorial Representation of Peter Brandt Peter Brandt CLASSICAL CHARTING
BEARISH Moderate
CPER
Copper is overvalued, with mining CEOs hedging and downside risk implied below $5.30 after few expected silver to revisit $50. LEVELS · TARGET 5.3 $CPER
Month 1d
Editorial Representation of Lyn Alden Lyn Alden FISCAL · LIQUIDITY · BITCOIN
BULLISH Moderate
CPER
Copper is a potential long-term beneficiary of trends expected to sustain demand for energy and related real assets. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Year 11d
Editorial Representation of Charlie Bilello Charlie Bilello DATA · BREADTH
BULLISH Moderate
CPER
Copper has gained 32% over the last year, extending a materially higher price trend among the strongest-performing commodities. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Year 14d
Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough Keith McCullough QUAD REGIME · FUNNEL
BULLISH Moderate
CPER
Dr. Copper held its TREND signal and rose 1.4%, maintaining near-term upside momentum and a constructive technical trend for copper prices. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Week 15d
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller TECHNICAL · FINAL BAR
BEARISH Moderate
CPER
Copper prices are weakening alongside precious metals and soft commodities, reflecting broad commodity-market deterioration outside crude oil and energy. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Week 33d
Editorial Representation of Jason Shapiro Jason Shapiro POSITIONING · COT
BULLISH Moderate
CPER
Copper is making new highs after speculative long positioning eased, while its fundamental backdrop remains valid and trend following may improve. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Month 39d
Editorial Representation of Bob Elliott Bob Elliott MACRO ALLOCATION
BULLISH Moderate
CPER
Copper has reached all-time highs and risen 50% over the last year as the commodity surge extends well beyond oil and refined products. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Year 39d
Editorial Representation of Luke Gromen Luke Gromen FISCAL DOMINANCE
BULLISH Strong
CPER
Copper supply-chain constraints could become severe enough that cash may not secure physical copper, supporting a long-standing preference for holding warehouse inventory. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Year 43d
Editorial Representation of Mohamed El-Erian Mohamed El-Erian FED · POLICY ERROR
BULLISH Strong
CPER
Copper has printed fresh record highs as a broad commodity rally pushes the Bloomberg Commodity Index to levels not seen in over a decade. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Month 52d
Editorial Representation of Jeffrey Snider Jeffrey Snider DOLLAR LIQUIDITY
BEARISH Moderate
CPER
Copper’s recent rise is a tariff-driven supply squeeze rather than reflation, and the copper-to-gold ratio is likely to revert lower toward Chinese bond yields. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Month 53d
Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff Peter Schiff AUSTRIAN · GOLD
BULLISH Moderate
CPER
Copper content in modern nickels is worth 7.76 cents, 55% above face value, supporting a long-standing preference for hard assets over Treasuries. LEVELS · TARGET 7.76 $CPER
Year 53d
Editorial Representation of Jim Bianco Jim Bianco RATES & FIXED INCOME
BULLISH Strong
CPER
Copper has reached a new all-time high above $14,530 a ton, up more than 68% since Liberation Day in April 2025. LEVELS · TARGET 14530 $CPER
Month 53d
Editorial Representation of Peter Boockvar Peter Boockvar DATA REACTION
BULLISH Moderate
CPER
Agriculture has joined the commodity bull market, extending the advance beyond industrial metals and signaling broader upward pressure across raw materials. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Month 60d
Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Darius Dale REGIME NOWCAST · FUNNEL
BULLISH Moderate
CPER
Industrial commodities remain bullish in the volatility-adjusted momentum and probable-range models, retaining a positive near-term price signal across the industrial complex. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Week 72d
Editorial Representation of Michael Howell Michael Howell GLOBAL LIQUIDITY
HIGHER Strong
CPER
Commodity demand should strengthen through 2027 as global real-economy expansion continues well after the liquidity peak, favoring industrial commodities over financial assets. DIRECTION ONLY $CPER
Year 79d

WTI / OIL

32 Views
Editorial Representation of Steve Hanke Steve Hanke MONEY SUPPLY
BULLISH Strong
USO
Oil faces near-term upside pressure as the Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed, with tanker crossings collapsing from 46 last year to one on October 30. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Week 4h
Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough Keith McCullough QUAD REGIME · FUNNEL
BULLISH Strong
USO
Oil is favored in factor baskets, with long exposure presented as constructive amid rotation away from AI-linked assets and Bitcoin. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Week 10h
Editorial Representation of David Woo David Woo RATES · FX · GEOPOLITICS
BULLISH Strong
USO
Oil prices can rise without a Hormuz closure because threats of further attacks lift freight and insurance costs. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 2d
Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts Lance Roberts MACRO · POSITIONING
BULLISH Moderate
USO
Oil prices face upside pressure from renewed geopolitical tensions involving Iran, raising inflation expectations and pushing Treasury yields higher. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 5d
Editorial Representation of Jeffrey Snider Jeffrey Snider DOLLAR LIQUIDITY
BULLISH Moderate
USO
Oil faces persistent global energy-market bottlenecks from longer shipping routes, higher insurance costs, and limited refinery capacity despite renewed Strait of Hormuz flows. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 6d
Editorial Representation of Peter Brandt Peter Brandt CLASSICAL CHARTING
BEARISH Moderate
USO
Brent North Sea crude faced a pending up-thrust, signaling a near-term bearish reversal risk after the reported price advance. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Week 6d
Editorial Representation of Bob Elliott Bob Elliott MACRO ALLOCATION
BULLISH Moderate
USO
Oil markets are increasingly pricing persistently elevated prices, while investors remain broadly unprepared for the implications of this new market reality. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Year 6d
Editorial Representation of Mohamed El-Erian Mohamed El-Erian FED · POLICY ERROR
BULLISH Moderate
USO
WTI crude has risen above $101 a barrel as Brent tops $115, signaling continued upside pressure in oil prices. LEVELS · TARGET 101 $USO
Week 8d
Editorial Representation of Peter Reznicek Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES
BEARISH Moderate
USO
Crude oil could eventually form a lower high and retest its trendline, creating a tailwind for the broader market. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 8d
Editorial Representation of Jason Shapiro Jason Shapiro POSITIONING · COT
BULLISH Moderate
USO
Crude oil’s advance is sustainable because market participants remain underpositioned after getting burned chasing the prior war-driven move. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Year 9d
Editorial Representation of Luke Gromen Luke Gromen FISCAL DOMINANCE
BULLISH Moderate
USO
Oil prices appear inconsistent with reports that Qatar LNG damage was limited and Hormuz energy flows have normalized, implying persistent physical-market stress. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Week 9d
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller TECHNICAL · FINAL BAR
BEARISH Moderate
USO
Crude oil prices are generally drifting lower, with elevated prices no longer pushing materially higher as the week progresses. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Week 10d
Editorial Representation of Jurrien Timmer Jurrien Timmer LONG-HORIZON MACRO
BULLISH Strong
USO
Crude oil prices have returned above $100, while the Brent ninth-forward contract continues making new highs and stands $7 above its February level. LEVELS · TARGET 100 $USO
Month 10d
Editorial Representation of Lyn Alden Lyn Alden FISCAL · LIQUIDITY · BITCOIN
BULLISH Strong
USO
Energy remains a long-term bullish theme as demand for energy assets and infrastructure that transfers energy is expected to persist. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Year 11d
Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff Peter Schiff AUSTRIAN · GOLD
BULLISH Strong
USO
Oil is still early in a major breakout that will substantially raise living costs, with prices already at $110 after another 6% morning gain. LEVELS · TARGET 110 $USO
Year 11d
Editorial Representation of Charlie Bilello Charlie Bilello DATA · BREADTH
BULLISH Strong
USO
WTI crude has risen 77% over the last year, reflecting a strongly higher commodity-price trend despite varied performance across other raw materials. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Year 14d
Editorial Representation of Joseph Wang Joseph Wang FED PLUMBING
BULLISH Strong
USO
Oil futures should continue surging as escalating Saudi-Yemen conflict exposes vulnerable energy infrastructure and threatens disruptions to refined-product supplies. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 14d
Editorial Representation of Chris Ciovacco Chris Ciovacco TREND · CYCLE
BULLISH Weak
USO
Crude oil is nearing a long-standing range breakout, which would raise concerns for stocks, growth, inflation, and Fed policy if confirmed. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 14d
Editorial Representation of Andreas Steno Larsen Andreas Steno Larsen GLOBAL MACRO
BEARISH Moderate
USO
Oil prices face downside risk because physical-market indicators show adequate crude supply, while the remaining constraint lies in refined products rather than oil availability. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 18d
Editorial Representation of JC Parets JC Parets INTERMARKET · RS
BULLISH Moderate
USO
Crude oil appears to be forming a behemoth base, signaling a potentially constructive longer-term setup that could support higher prices. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Year 21d
Editorial Representation of Mark Newton Mark Newton INSTITUTIONAL TECHNICALS
BEARISH Moderate
USO
Crude is starting to weaken as rates pull back, with deterioration in the broader tape also worth monitoring near term. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Week 23d
Editorial Representation of Liz Ann Sonders Liz Ann Sonders US EQUITY MACRO
BULLISH Strong
USO
Oil is up more than 5% today amid heightened Strait of Hormuz tensions and the looming threat of Hurricane Isaias. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Week 23d
Editorial Representation of Jim Bianco Jim Bianco RATES & FIXED INCOME
BULLISH Moderate
USO
Energy-product shortages from damaged refineries and potential US export restrictions could keep gasoline prices elevated even if crude flows normalize. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 26d
Editorial Representation of Cem Karsan Cem Karsan DEALER GAMMA · VOL
BEARISH Moderate
USO
WTI fell 3.7% after pressure on European governments to accelerate diesel supply releases, easing a primary inflation pressure for Treasuries and equities. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Week 28d
Editorial Representation of David Rosenberg David Rosenberg RECESSION RISK
BEARISH Moderate
USO
Energy prices should peak and remain elevated rather than continue rising, as Hormuz traffic and Gulf-region exports ramp up during the conflict. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 30d
Editorial Representation of Ben Carlson Ben Carlson ALLOCATION · BEHAVIOUR
BULLISH Moderate
USO
Oil has climbed from $67 before the war to $90 now, alongside higher inflation, Treasury yields, mortgage rates, and gasoline prices. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 31d
Editorial Representation of Michael Kantrowitz Michael Kantrowitz HOPE CYCLE
BULLISH Moderate
USO
Oil prices continue to rise alongside interest rates, while the front end of the oil curve may still contain more noise than signal. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Week 32d
Editorial Representation of Julien Bittel Julien Bittel LIQUIDITY · CYCLES
BEARISH Strong
USO
WTI crude should move lower if a Strait reopening deal lands before the midterms, while a break above $110 would delay this liquidity-driven setup. LEVELS · RESISTANCE 110 $USO
Month 36d
Editorial Representation of Danielle DiMartino Booth Danielle DiMartino Booth LABOR INTERNALS
BEARISH Moderate
USO
Oil prices need to come down to provide substantial relief to US and global households facing elevated living costs. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 37d
Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Darius Dale REGIME NOWCAST · FUNNEL
BULLISH Strong
USO
Crude oil will likely continue gradually trending higher if the United States refuses to exit the Strait of Hormuz conflict. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 38d
Editorial Representation of Brent Kochuba Brent Kochuba GAMMA · 0DTE · FUNNEL
BULLISH Weak
USO
Oil has returned as a key driver of equity prices after its relationship with $SPY shifted over the past ten days. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Week 52d
Editorial Representation of Michael Howell Michael Howell GLOBAL LIQUIDITY
BULLISH Strong
USO
Oil prices are likely to rise significantly as strong real-economy activity boosts commodity demand and the gold-oil ratio moves toward long-run mean reversion. DIRECTION ONLY $USO
Month 79d

Nat Gas

7 Views
Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough Keith McCullough QUAD REGIME · FUNNEL
BULLISH Moderate
UNG
Natural gas has risen 11% over the last month, with winter approaching and seasonal demand expected to remain supportive. DIRECTION ONLY $UNG
Month 12d
Editorial Representation of Charlie Bilello Charlie Bilello DATA · BREADTH
BULLISH Weak
UNG
Natural gas has increased 7% over the last year, maintaining a modestly positive price trend despite broad dispersion across commodities. DIRECTION ONLY $UNG
Year 14d
Editorial Representation of Steve Hanke Steve Hanke MONEY SUPPLY
BULLISH Strong
UNG
Natural gas prices should rise as European gas storage sits below 74%, well under the seasonal average of 90%, tightening the supply backdrop. DIRECTION ONLY $UNG
Month 17d
Editorial Representation of Jim Bianco Jim Bianco RATES & FIXED INCOME
BULLISH Moderate
UNG
Natural gas prices face further upward pressure as the Russia-Ukraine war appears to be worsening rather than ending. DIRECTION ONLY $UNG
Month 29d
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller TECHNICAL · FINAL BAR
BULLISH Moderate
UNG
Natural gas prices continue accelerating higher as colder winter heating demand approaches, creating a potential cost pressure for consumers. DIRECTION ONLY $UNG
Week 37d
Editorial Representation of Jason Shapiro Jason Shapiro POSITIONING · COT
BULLISH Moderate
UNG
Natural gas has led Bitcoin this week, climbing around 12% and sustaining a notably stronger short-term upside move. DIRECTION ONLY $UNG
Week 37d
Editorial Representation of Andreas Steno Larsen Andreas Steno Larsen GLOBAL MACRO
BULLISH Moderate
UNG
European natural gas conditions look increasingly strained, pointing to further upside pressure across natural gas prices in the near term. DIRECTION ONLY $UNG
Month 59d

Bitcoin

22 Views
Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough Keith McCullough QUAD REGIME · FUNNEL
BEARISH Strong
BTC
Bitcoin and related stocks should be exited, as factor baskets rotate toward oil and energy stocks rather than speculative technology exposure. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Week 10h
Editorial Representation of Steve Hanke Steve Hanke MONEY SUPPLY
BEARISH Strong
BTC
Crypto is unsafe and unsound after hackers stole an estimated $6.3 billion from Binance, forcing the exchange to suspend all withdrawals. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Year 1d
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller TECHNICAL · FINAL BAR
BEARISH Strong
BTC
Bitcoin is failing to hold key 80,000 round-number support, confirming a new distribution phase unless price quickly proves otherwise. LEVELS · SUPPORT 80000 $BTC$BITO
Week 1d
Editorial Representation of Brent Kochuba Brent Kochuba GAMMA · 0DTE · FUNNEL
BEARISH Strong
BTC
Crypto is getting crushed in near-term trading, signaling continued downside pressure across Bitcoin and the broader digital-asset complex. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Week 1d
Editorial Representation of Jason Shapiro Jason Shapiro POSITIONING · COT
BULLISH Moderate
BTC
Bitcoin’s four-year cycle has begun, signaling the start of a constructive long-term phase rather than a short-term trading call. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Year 1d
Editorial Representation of Tom Lee Tom Lee US EQUITY STRATEGY
BULLISH Moderate
BTC
Bitcoin bearish positioning is questioned, signaling a constructive near-term stance that crypto prices can move higher from current levels. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Week 2d
Editorial Representation of Luke Gromen Luke Gromen FISCAL DOMINANCE
BULLISH Strong
BTC
Bitcoin is positioned to benefit structurally from the labor-force displacement associated with China’s WTO entry and its lasting economic and political consequences. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Year 3d
Editorial Representation of Brian Shannon Brian Shannon TECHNICAL · AVWAP
BULLISH Moderate
BTC
Bitcoin has solid support near 80, and an undercut toward 78 followed by recovery above 80 could pave the way for a year-end rally. LEVELS · SUPPORT 80 · SUPPORT 78 $BTC$BITO
Year 4d
Editorial Representation of Charlie Bilello Charlie Bilello DATA · BREADTH
BEARISH Moderate
BTC
Bitcoin is down 7.3% so far in 2026, making it one of the two worst-performing major assets in an unprecedented calendar-year start. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Year 6d
Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff Peter Schiff AUSTRIAN · GOLD
BEARISH Strong
BTC
Bitcoin is breaking down below $80K, with $75K the likely next stop and further weakness possible if that level fails today. LEVELS · RESISTANCE 80000 · TARGET 75000 $BTC$BITO
Week 7d
Editorial Representation of Jurrien Timmer Jurrien Timmer LONG-HORIZON MACRO
BULLISH Strong
BTC
Bitcoin is likely to keep gaining relative to gold for a while, while remaining supported by demand for real assets amid concerns about desperate government actions. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Year 8d
Editorial Representation of Mike Green Mike Green PASSIVE FLOWS · STRUCTURE
BEARISH Strong
BTC
Bitcoin faces existential downside if quantum computing breaks its algorithm, eliminating the network’s security, incorruptibility, and the integrity of ownership. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Year 9d
Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Darius Dale REGIME NOWCAST · FUNNEL
BULLISH Strong
BTC
Bitcoin should replace bonds as a core diversifier in the current structural macro regime, reducing drawdown and correlation risk versus traditional 60/40 portfolios. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Year 22d
Editorial Representation of JC Parets JC Parets INTERMARKET · RS
BEARISH Moderate
BTC
Bitcoin’s current price pattern resembles a familiar bearish setup rather than a novel development, pointing toward lower prices over the coming weeks. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Month 26d
Editorial Representation of Jim Bianco Jim Bianco RATES & FIXED INCOME
BULLISH Strong
BTC
Crypto becomes extraordinarily compelling if it returns to building a decentralized financial system for populations facing unstable currencies and weak institutions. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Year 26d
Editorial Representation of Peter Brandt Peter Brandt CLASSICAL CHARTING
BULLISH Strong
BTC
Bitcoin has entered a new bull market, supporting a constructive longer-term outlook for $BTC alongside a broad range of altcoins. DIRECTION ONLY $BITO
Year 32d
Editorial Representation of Chris Ciovacco Chris Ciovacco TREND · CYCLE
BULLISH Weak
BTC
Bitcoin's monthly RSI is attempting to cross 50, a historically bullish tendency, though price still needs to clear its moving-average cluster. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Month 35d
Editorial Representation of Julien Bittel Julien Bittel LIQUIDITY · CYCLES
BULLISH Strong
BTC
Bitcoin should outperform through a regime shift from debasement-driven gains toward productivity-led growth, supported by rising liquidity and a weakening dollar. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Year 36d
Editorial Representation of Mark Newton Mark Newton INSTITUTIONAL TECHNICALS
BULLISH Strong
BTC
Bitcoin is expected to rise to $85,000–$90,000 before consolidating around $70,000, with the crypto winter described as over. LEVELS · TARGET 85000 · TARGET 90000 $BTC$BITO
Month 53d
Editorial Representation of Mohamed El-Erian Mohamed El-Erian FED · POLICY ERROR
BULLISH Moderate
BTC
Bitcoin has continued its rebound in morning trading, crossing above $77,800 amid notable market price moves across the session. LEVELS · TARGET 77800 $BTC$BITO
Week 71d
Editorial Representation of Andreas Steno Larsen Andreas Steno Larsen GLOBAL MACRO
BULLISH Moderate
BTC
Bitcoin could benefit from debt buybacks, framed as a near-term risk-on trade rather than a broader market thesis. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Week 71d
Editorial Representation of Michael Howell Michael Howell GLOBAL LIQUIDITY
BEARISH Moderate
BTC
Crypto remains under pressure as global and Federal Reserve liquidity fade, while gold benefits from China-driven liquidity expansion and outperforms monetary hedges. DIRECTION ONLY $BTC$BITO
Month 79d