Big Picture · Week of 17 August 2026
What the Talking
Headge Said.
Talking heads on US markets publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge turns those posts and videos into short, source-backed views of who said it, about what, which direction, and over which horizon, so the catch-up takes fifteen minutes.
AI adoption and inflation anxiety are expected to remain defining forces in markets, extending the current era beyond a short-term cycle.
Michael Kantrowitz BULLISH
Piper Sandler Chief Investment Strategist. HOPE framework — Housing, Orders, Profits, Employment.
New Views Today
LatestBullish
AI adoption and inflation anxiety are expected to remain defining forces in markets, extending the current era beyond a short-term cycle.
Nike has a really big move brewing as volatility is super compressed, signaling an upside breakout setup for $NKE.
Economic activity currently supports markets despite prevailing concerns, with the EOCI historically showing a high correlation to nominal GDP growth and earnings.
Bearish
Treasury bonds face sustained selling pressure from a geopolitical supply-demand imbalance, with financial repression expected to remain a recurring issue for 5 to 10 years.
The U.S. dollar’s further weaponization over Iran policy will accelerate global de-dollarization, worsening the need to buy back or monetize Treasuries.
Bitcoin could see deeper profit-taking toward the year-to-date VWAP and the VWAP from the latest thrust if its hourly break above last week’s high fails.
1 Week Horizon
Dale · DXY
Mancini · SPY
Shannon · BTC
Elliott · DXY
Parets · V
Roberts · Positioning & Vol
Hanke · USO
Kochuba · Positioning & Vol
Wang · USO
Keller · Positioning & Vol
Keller · BTC
Kochuba · GLD
Parets · HYG
Ciovacco · HYG
Hanke · TLT
Bianco · TLT
Newton · Liquidity
Shannon · XBI
Shannon · GOOGL
Shannon · AMZN
Shannon · MAGS
Shannon · SNDK
Shannon · MU
Shannon · NVDA1 Month Horizon
Dale · Growth
Dale · Inflation
Parets · NKE
Hanke · Fiscal & Treasury
Roberts · Growth
El-Erian · Tariffs & Geopolitics
Roberts · TLT
Steno Larsen · Liquidity
Sonders · Fiscal & Treasury
Sonders · GLD
Wang · Fiscal & Treasury
Schiff · STRC
Schiff · Inflation
Elliott · USO
Bilello · Inflation
Reznicek · SPCX
Sonders · Growth
Wang · Liquidity
Wang · TLT
DiMartino Booth · Housing
Snider · Liquidity
Ciovacco · HYG
Hanke · Growth
Parets · XLB
The accommodative Fed policy stance is applying upward pressure on the economy as r-star has risen roughly 50 to 75 basis points over six months.
Inflation faces upward pressure because accommodative Fed policy, with r-star backing up, is pushing bond yields and the economy higher.
Nike has a really big move brewing as volatility is super compressed, signaling an upside breakout setup for $NKE.
1 Year Horizon
Kantrowitz · AI
Dale · TLT
Dale · AI
Dale · Fed Policy
Bilello · Fiscal & Treasury
Schiff · DXY
Roberts · Positioning & Vol
Gromen · DXY
Lee · BTC
Lee · BMNP
Lee · BMNR
Lee · XLRE
Lee · GLD
Lee · SPY
Dale · SPY
Schiff · Inflation
Schiff · GLD
Schiff · Fiscal & Treasury
Parets · BTC
Gromen · GLD
Woo · TLT
Snider · DXY
Hanke · DXY
Carlson · TLT
AI adoption and inflation anxiety are expected to remain defining forces in markets, extending the current era beyond a short-term cycle.
Moved Since Yesterday
Mancini · SPY The S&P futures setup is very weak and used up after another 7680 trap, with 7645–50 below as the near-term downside level.
Woo · TLT Long-duration Treasury prices should stop falling as financial repression protects the AI capital-expenditure boom from rising yields that could otherwise choke it off.
Roberts · TLT Long Treasury yields are rising as markets adjust to stronger economic growth reflected in corporate earnings, while inflation expectations remain flat.
Hanke · Fiscal & Treasury US tariff revenues turned negative in June and July as refunds exceeded collections, making Trump’s tariffs a fiscal catastrophe.
Where They Diverge
Words
Method
How Headge Works
- 01
Discover
Talking heads publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge credits the speaker, never the venue that hosted them.
- 02
Place
Each directional claim lands on one topic, with a horizon and a source. If it cannot be placed confidently, there is No View — not a guess.
- 03
Read
Start with Latest, then the 1 Week, 1 Month, and 1 Year horizons. Open a portrait for the analyst, or a summary for the topic.
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Source-Backed
Every view links to the original post or the exact YouTube moment.
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Closed Catalog
A view occupies one named topic. Headge does not invent a new one to make it fit.
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Mix Is a Count
Bull, Neutral, and Bear are tallies of unique analysts, not a house call.