Big Picture · Week of 17 August 2026

What the Talking
Headge Said.

Talking heads on US markets publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge turns those posts and videos into short, source-backed views of who said it, about what, which direction, and over which horizon, so the catch-up takes fifteen minutes.

Positioning & Vol

Market breadth continues to deteriorate, with 71% of stocks down an average 2.1% yesterday, signaling broader downside participation and elevated market stress.

Keith McCullough HIGHER

Hedgeye. Growth/inflation Quads, risk ranges, high-frequency cross-asset regime calls. Public direction, paid levels.

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Bullish

Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough

Market breadth continues to deteriorate, with 71% of stocks down an average 2.1% yesterday, signaling broader downside participation and elevated market stress.

Editorial Representation of Steve Hanke

Crude oil could reach $120 per barrel if attacks on Middle East shipping intensify, supporting a long-standing bullish oil position.

Editorial Representation of Charlie Bilello

S&P 500 earnings are expected to surge 34% in 2026, more than double the 15% growth forecast at the start of the year amid an AI-driven boom.

Editorial Representation of Brian Shannon

$ARKG is holding the anchor from its low as the five-day average flattens, keeping genomics constructive after the recent pullback.

Editorial Representation of Brent Kochuba

0DTE positioning drove the early S&P selloff, then its cessation marked the 10:15 low and left intraday flows as the dominant market driver.

Bearish

Editorial Representation of Jeffrey Snider

Rising oil prices alongside a fragile labor market set up demand destruction rather than inflation, pointing to weaker economic growth.

Editorial Representation of Danielle DiMartino Booth

Restaurant and bar spending collapsed in August despite 59,000 new hires, while a 44% survey response rate undermines confidence in blowout payrolls.

Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts

10-year Treasury yields can rise slowly from current 4%-4.7% levels without disrupting equities, as markets have had time to absorb the higher-rate environment.

Editorial Representation of David Keller

$ZS has dropped below its crucial 200-day moving average after failing to retest major resistance near $190, weakening the post-earnings technical setup.

Editorial Representation of Liz Ann Sonders

August New York Fed median inflation expectations declined to 3.58% at one year and 3.19% at three years, from 3.63% and 3.26%.

1 Week Horizon

And 263 More

1 Month Horizon

And 347 More

1 Year Horizon

And 234 More

Moved Since Yesterday

Editorial Representation of Brent Kochuba Kochuba · Positioning & Vol
Brent Kochuba
BEARISH BULLISH Week

AI complex options positioning is increasingly crowded on the upside, with call skew above the 80th percentile across $SMH, $AVGO, $MU, and related names.

Editorial Representation of Luke Gromen Gromen · Fiscal & Treasury
Luke Gromen
BULLISH BEARISH Year

US fiscal austerity aimed at cutting deficits could paradoxically trigger foreign Treasury sales, increasing effective Treasury supply as investors defend their currencies.

Editorial Representation of Brian Shannon Shannon · SPY
Brian Shannon
BEARISH NEUTRAL Week

The S&P 500 has formed lower highs and lower lows after its all-time high, needing to settle before determining whether it can reach new highs.

Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts Roberts · Earnings
Lance Roberts
BEARISH BULLISH Year

Earnings support a continued bullish market trend, while risk management, seasonality, and portfolio rebalancing remain relevant rather than signaling a fresh downturn call.

Where They Diverge

TLT
Fed Policy
AI
Inflation
SPY
GLD

Words

MarketTreasuryInflationGoldFedPricesDollarYieldsOilDespitePressureS&PBitcoinRatesLongPolicyEarningsGrowthNear-TermStocksRisingBondsEconomyRiskRateSignalingLiquidityYieldTowardDebtFederalSpendingSupportingAbovePositionDayMarketsPrice

Method

How Headge Works

  1. 01

    Discover

    Talking heads publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge credits the speaker, never the venue that hosted them.

  2. 02

    Place

    Each directional claim lands on one topic, with a horizon and a source. If it cannot be placed confidently, there is No View — not a guess.

  3. 03

    Read

    Start with Latest, then the 1 Week, 1 Month, and 1 Year horizons. Open a portrait for the analyst, or a summary for the topic.

  • Source-Backed

    Every view links to the original post or the exact YouTube moment.

  • Closed Catalog

    A view occupies one named topic. Headge does not invent a new one to make it fit.

  • Mix Is a Count

    Bull, Neutral, and Bear are tallies of unique analysts, not a house call.