Big Picture · Week of 10 August 2026
What the Talking
Headge Said.
Talking heads on US markets publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge turns those posts and videos into short, source-backed views of who said it, about what, which direction, and over which horizon, so the catch-up takes fifteen minutes.
US long-bond yields are rising as massive corporate and government issuance calendars drive global spillovers and push overseas borrowing costs to multi-decade highs.
Mohamed El-Erian BEARISH
Queens' College Cambridge, Allianz adviser. Fed policy, global growth and policy-error risk.
New Views Today
LatestBullish
Gold has strong institutional demand in Shanghai, reflected by China’s weekly physical premium climbing to $1.50 per ounce last week.
Gold remains extremely bullish despite reversing earlier gains, as rising Japanese government bond yields and Treasury-market stress reinforce the long-standing bullish thesis.
Dollar strength signals worsening dollar scarcity, as risk aversion causes liquidity providers to pull back further and reinforces the shortage.
Bearish
US long-bond yields are rising as massive corporate and government issuance calendars drive global spillovers and push overseas borrowing costs to multi-decade highs.
UST yield curve steepening to a new Quad 3 cycle high supports a steepener position and points to continued pressure on long-duration Treasuries.
10-year Treasury yields are rising for the wrong reasons despite July job losses and cooling inflation, creating a concerning backdrop for bond investors.
1 Week Horizon
McCullough · TLT
Woo · TLT
McCullough · GLD
Hanke · GLD
Hanke · Tariffs & Geopolitics
Karsan · Positioning & Vol
Newton · PWR
Keller · GLD
Schiff · BTC
Dale · Positioning & Vol
Kochuba · Positioning & Vol
Mancini · SPY
Reznicek · SPY
McCullough · WING
Sonders · Housing
Newton · META
Newton · GOOGL
Kochuba · GLD
Kochuba · USO
Roberts · Liquidity
Sonders · Inflation
Roberts · Positioning & Vol
McCullough · Positioning & Vol
McCullough · Earnings
UST yield curve steepening to a new Quad 3 cycle high supports a steepener position and points to continued pressure on long-duration Treasuries.
1 Month Horizon
El-Erian · TLT
Schiff · GLD
Snider · DXY
Schiff · GDX
Schiff · DXY
Schiff · Liquidity
Schiff · TLT
Hanke · DXY
Bianco · USO
Keller · PUR
Snider · USO
Timmer · TLT
Timmer · SPY
Timmer · Fed Policy
Dale · SPY
Schiff · SPY
Schiff · Inflation
Schiff · SLV
Schiff · USO
Sonders · Housing
Lee · BMNR
McCullough · LQD
McCullough · TLT
McCullough · GLD
US long-bond yields are rising as massive corporate and government issuance calendars drive global spillovers and push overseas borrowing costs to multi-decade highs.
1 Year Horizon
Bilello · Fiscal & Treasury
Bilello · TLT
Dale · BTC
Gromen · Fiscal & Treasury
McCullough · IVOL
Schiff · TLT
Gromen · GLD
Carlson · Housing
Basmajian · Earnings
Schiff · Inflation
Schiff · SLV
Schiff · GLD
Bilello · AI
Elliott · Growth
Bianco · BTC
Bianco · Growth
Bianco · AI
Bianco · Inflation
Bianco · TLT
Carlson · XLK
Bianco · LABOR
Snider · LABOR
Snider · Recession Risk
Bilello · Inflation
National debt has risen $3.7 trillion in 13 months as higher spending, repeated debt-ceiling increases, and massive deficits persist.
Moved Since Yesterday
El-Erian · Fed Policy Fed rate-hike expectations are declining, while this week’s economic data are unlikely to resolve broader market and consumer-sector dissonance.
Where They Diverge
Words
Method
How Headge Works
- 01
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