Big Picture · Week of 10 August 2026

What the Talking
Headge Said.

Talking heads on US markets publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge turns those posts and videos into short, source-backed views of who said it, about what, which direction, and over which horizon, so the catch-up takes fifteen minutes.

TLT

US long-bond yields are rising as massive corporate and government issuance calendars drive global spillovers and push overseas borrowing costs to multi-decade highs.

Mohamed El-Erian BEARISH

Queens' College Cambridge, Allianz adviser. Fed policy, global growth and policy-error risk.

New Views Today

Latest

Bullish

Editorial Representation of Steve Hanke

Gold has strong institutional demand in Shanghai, reflected by China’s weekly physical premium climbing to $1.50 per ounce last week.

Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff

Gold remains extremely bullish despite reversing earlier gains, as rising Japanese government bond yields and Treasury-market stress reinforce the long-standing bullish thesis.

Editorial Representation of Jeffrey Snider

Dollar strength signals worsening dollar scarcity, as risk aversion causes liquidity providers to pull back further and reinforces the shortage.

Editorial Representation of Charlie Bilello

National debt has risen $3.7 trillion in 13 months as higher spending, repeated debt-ceiling increases, and massive deficits persist.

Editorial Representation of Cem Karsan

Index volatility is unusually compressed while correlations are breaking down, masking substantial moves in individual S&P 500 stocks beneath the calm surface.

Bearish

Editorial Representation of Mohamed El-Erian

US long-bond yields are rising as massive corporate and government issuance calendars drive global spillovers and push overseas borrowing costs to multi-decade highs.

Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough

UST yield curve steepening to a new Quad 3 cycle high supports a steepener position and points to continued pressure on long-duration Treasuries.

Editorial Representation of David Woo
David Woo TLT Moderate

10-year Treasury yields are rising for the wrong reasons despite July job losses and cooling inflation, creating a concerning backdrop for bond investors.

Editorial Representation of Jim Bianco

Oil prices are being actively managed as the administration prioritizes keeping oil and gas cheap, making crude the variable driving war-policy responses.

Editorial Representation of Jurrien Timmer

Bond yields are quietly sitting in the 4.5% to 5.0% yellow zone, signaling constrained downside for long-duration Treasuries near term.

1 Week Horizon

And 31 More

1 Month Horizon

And 156 More

1 Year Horizon

And 65 More

Moved Since Yesterday

Editorial Representation of Mohamed El-Erian El-Erian · Fed Policy
Mohamed El-Erian
BULLISH NEUTRAL Month

Fed rate-hike expectations are declining, while this week’s economic data are unlikely to resolve broader market and consumer-sector dissonance.

Where They Diverge

Inflation
SPY
TLT
Fed Policy
Growth
AI

Words

InflationGoldMarketYieldsFedS&PPricesGrowthOilBitcoinDebtLiquidityBondAboveEconomyGovernmentSpendingDemandHighsRatesTreasuryDollarGlobalRiskDespiteRisingBondsChineseEarningsLaborStocksStrongPressureYieldFederalPolicyTowardFiscal

Method

How Headge Works

  1. 01

    Discover

    Talking heads publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge credits the speaker, never the venue that hosted them.

  2. 02

    Place

    Each directional claim lands on one topic, with a horizon and a source. If it cannot be placed confidently, there is No View — not a guess.

  3. 03

    Read

    Start with Latest, then the 1 Week, 1 Month, and 1 Year horizons. Open a portrait for the analyst, or a summary for the topic.

  • Source-Backed

    Every view links to the original post or the exact YouTube moment.

  • Closed Catalog

    A view occupies one named topic. Headge does not invent a new one to make it fit.

  • Mix Is a Count

    Bull, Neutral, and Bear are tallies of unique analysts, not a house call.