Big Picture · Week of 17 August 2026
What the Talking
Headge Said.
Talking heads on US markets publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge turns those posts and videos into short, source-backed views of who said it, about what, which direction, and over which horizon, so the catch-up takes fifteen minutes.
Market breadth continues to deteriorate, with 71% of stocks down an average 2.1% yesterday, signaling broader downside participation and elevated market stress.
Keith McCullough HIGHER
Hedgeye. Growth/inflation Quads, risk ranges, high-frequency cross-asset regime calls. Public direction, paid levels.
New Views Today
LatestBullish
Market breadth continues to deteriorate, with 71% of stocks down an average 2.1% yesterday, signaling broader downside participation and elevated market stress.
Crude oil could reach $120 per barrel if attacks on Middle East shipping intensify, supporting a long-standing bullish oil position.
S&P 500 earnings are expected to surge 34% in 2026, more than double the 15% growth forecast at the start of the year amid an AI-driven boom.
$ARKG is holding the anchor from its low as the five-day average flattens, keeping genomics constructive after the recent pullback.
Bearish
Rising oil prices alongside a fragile labor market set up demand destruction rather than inflation, pointing to weaker economic growth.
Restaurant and bar spending collapsed in August despite 59,000 new hires, while a 44% survey response rate undermines confidence in blowout payrolls.
10-year Treasury yields can rise slowly from current 4%-4.7% levels without disrupting equities, as markets have had time to absorb the higher-rate environment.
$ZS has dropped below its crucial 200-day moving average after failing to retest major resistance near $190, weakening the post-earnings technical setup.
1 Week Horizon
McCullough · Positioning & Vol
Hanke · USO
Bilello · USO
Shannon · CRSP
Shannon · MRNA
Shannon · CBRX
Kochuba · Positioning & Vol
Kochuba · SPY
Dale · Fed Policy
Hanke · Tariffs & Geopolitics
DiMartino Booth · LABOR
Roberts · SPY
McCullough · SJM
Mancini · SPY
Shannon · TEM
Keller · ZS
Keller · SPCX
Reznicek · CBRS
McCullough · OIH
McCullough · JETS
Schiff · CPER
Sonders · USO
McCullough · USO
McCullough · IWM
Market breadth continues to deteriorate, with 71% of stocks down an average 2.1% yesterday, signaling broader downside participation and elevated market stress.
1 Month Horizon
Hanke · USO
Hanke · CPER
Hanke · Tariffs & Geopolitics
Shannon · ARKG
Shannon · TEM
Shannon · CRWV
Hanke · Inflation
Snider · CPER
Dale · Growth
Dale · TLT
Karsan · Liquidity
Roberts · TLT
Dale · Fed Policy
McCullough · UNG
McCullough · CPER
McCullough · Inflation
McCullough · USO
Lee · BTC
Schiff · Inflation
Elliott · USO
Snider · Inflation
Bianco · CPER
Steno Larsen · DXY
Woo · TLT1 Year Horizon
Hanke · GLD
Snider · Growth
Snider · LABOR
Bilello · Earnings
Snider · TLT
Snider · Inflation
Snider · Housing
Snider · Recession Risk
Gromen · Fiscal & Treasury
Dale · BTC
Dale · SPY
Dale · Liquidity
Dale · GLD
McCullough · SJM
Schiff · Tariffs & Geopolitics
Dale · Growth
Dale · Inflation
Schiff · CPER
Hanke · Inflation
Bianco · LABOR
Sonders · Inflation
Gromen · Inflation
Gromen · TLT
Hanke · Fiscal & TreasuryMoved Since Yesterday
Kochuba · Positioning & Vol AI complex options positioning is increasingly crowded on the upside, with call skew above the 80th percentile across $SMH, $AVGO, $MU, and related names.
Gromen · Fiscal & Treasury US fiscal austerity aimed at cutting deficits could paradoxically trigger foreign Treasury sales, increasing effective Treasury supply as investors defend their currencies.
Shannon · SPY The S&P 500 has formed lower highs and lower lows after its all-time high, needing to settle before determining whether it can reach new highs.
Roberts · Earnings Earnings support a continued bullish market trend, while risk management, seasonality, and portfolio rebalancing remain relevant rather than signaling a fresh downturn call.
Where They Diverge
Words
Method
How Headge Works
- 01
Discover
Talking heads publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge credits the speaker, never the venue that hosted them.
- 02
Place
Each directional claim lands on one topic, with a horizon and a source. If it cannot be placed confidently, there is No View — not a guess.
- 03
Read
Start with Latest, then the 1 Week, 1 Month, and 1 Year horizons. Open a portrait for the analyst, or a summary for the topic.
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Source-Backed
Every view links to the original post or the exact YouTube moment.
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Closed Catalog
A view occupies one named topic. Headge does not invent a new one to make it fit.
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Mix Is a Count
Bull, Neutral, and Bear are tallies of unique analysts, not a house call.