Big Picture · Week of 17 August 2026
What the Talking
Headge Said.
Talking heads on US markets publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge turns those posts and videos into short, source-backed views of who said it, about what, which direction, and over which horizon, so the catch-up takes fifteen minutes.
Gold remains in a secular bull market, with its long-term peak expected between $6,000 and $7,000 per ounce.
Steve Hanke BULLISH
Johns Hopkins. Money supply, currency regimes and inflation forecasting from monetary aggregates.
New Views Today
LatestBullish
Gold remains in a secular bull market, with its long-term peak expected between $6,000 and $7,000 per ounce.
Crypto is positioned to strengthen in 2026 as artificial intelligence expands demand for downstream digital-asset infrastructure and adoption.
Canadian retaliation with tariffs of 50%, 25%, and 15% on roughly 700 U.S. products increases bilateral trade pressure after U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods.
$NVDA options price a roughly 5.5% earnings move versus a 7.4% average realized post-earnings move over the past 12 months, favoring volatility expansion.
Bearish
AI price action and related metrics show no bullish momentum, with semiconductor performance and chip leasing rates failing to gain traction.
Core inflation is decelerating as weak consumer demand and retail discounting prevent energy and tariff costs from generating sustained economy-wide price increases.
Private-sector workers’ inflation-adjusted wages and salaries fell 0.4% year over year in the second quarter, the first decline since 2022.
1 Week Horizon
Kochuba · NVDA
Mancini · SPY
El-Erian · Growth
McCullough · DKS
Dale · Positioning & Vol
Dale · NVDA
Roberts · Earnings
Sonders · Positioning & Vol
El-Erian · USO
El-Erian · Tariffs & Geopolitics
El-Erian · TLT
McCullough · BTC
McCullough · TLT
McCullough · Positioning & Vol
Karsan · Positioning & Vol
Karsan · NVDA
Dale · DXY
Shannon · BTC
Elliott · DXY
Parets · V
Roberts · Positioning & Vol
Hanke · USO
Kochuba · Positioning & Vol
Wang · USO
$NVDA options price a roughly 5.5% earnings move versus a 7.4% average realized post-earnings move over the past 12 months, favoring volatility expansion.
1 Month Horizon
Timmer · AI
Schiff · Tariffs & Geopolitics
Snider · Inflation
Snider · LABOR
Snider · Recession Risk
DiMartino Booth · LABOR
Dale · TLT
McCullough · NFLX
Hanke · USO
Hanke · TLT
Roberts · Housing
Carlson · Positioning & Vol
Sonders · Housing
El-Erian · Housing
McCullough · SPY
Woo · TLT
Roberts · Recession Risk
Sonders · LABOR
Hanke · Liquidity
Keller · PLTR
Dale · Growth
Dale · Inflation
Parets · NKE
Hanke · Fiscal & Treasury1 Year Horizon
Hanke · GLD
Lee · BTC
Hanke · CPER
Snider · Housing
Schiff · NEM
Dale · SPY
Dale · Inflation
Dale · DXY
Dale · Earnings
Dale · Positioning & Vol
Dale · Tariffs & Geopolitics
Dale · LABOR
Dale · Housing
Dale · Fed Policy
Dale · BTC
Dale · GLD
Dale · Fiscal & Treasury
Hanke · Inflation
Dale · TLT
Dale · AI
Timmer · AI
Timmer · Earnings
McCullough · MRK
Elliott · HOODMoved Since Yesterday
Mancini · SPY The S&P futures reclaim of 7,680 triggered upside momentum, with 7,710, 7,716–20, 7,734, 7,746, and 7,794–97 as successive near-term targets.
El-Erian · USO Oil prices are down another 3%, a near-term decline that is easing upward pressure on global government bond yields.
El-Erian · TLT US 10-year yields have declined 3 basis points as lower oil prices ease upward pressure on global government bond yields.
Hanke · TLT Long-bond prices will fall and yields will rise because nearly double-digit broad-money growth will torpedo Treasury efforts to suppress long-end yields.
Dale · DXY The US dollar faces downside as the growing Bessent’s bridge is bullish for risk assets and reduces demand for dollar safety.
Hanke · Fiscal & Treasury U.S. Treasury buybacks doubled to at least $4 billion are unlikely to earn credibility with bond vigilantes, as comparable market interventions have historically failed.
Wang · Fiscal & Treasury Treasury financing pressures are likely to remain a dominant force in markets, favoring larger deficits and more issuance rather than easing fiscal conditions.
Where They Diverge
Words
Method
How Headge Works
- 01
Discover
Talking heads publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge credits the speaker, never the venue that hosted them.
- 02
Place
Each directional claim lands on one topic, with a horizon and a source. If it cannot be placed confidently, there is No View — not a guess.
- 03
Read
Start with Latest, then the 1 Week, 1 Month, and 1 Year horizons. Open a portrait for the analyst, or a summary for the topic.
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Source-Backed
Every view links to the original post or the exact YouTube moment.
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Closed Catalog
A view occupies one named topic. Headge does not invent a new one to make it fit.
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Mix Is a Count
Bull, Neutral, and Bear are tallies of unique analysts, not a house call.