Big Picture · Week of 17 August 2026

What the Talking
Headge Said.

Talking heads on US markets publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge turns those posts and videos into short, source-backed views of who said it, about what, which direction, and over which horizon, so the catch-up takes fifteen minutes.

GLD

Gold remains in a secular bull market, with its long-term peak expected between $6,000 and $7,000 per ounce.

Steve Hanke BULLISH

Johns Hopkins. Money supply, currency regimes and inflation forecasting from monetary aggregates.

New Views Today

Latest

Bullish

Editorial Representation of Steve Hanke

Gold remains in a secular bull market, with its long-term peak expected between $6,000 and $7,000 per ounce.

Editorial Representation of Tom Lee

Crypto is positioned to strengthen in 2026 as artificial intelligence expands demand for downstream digital-asset infrastructure and adoption.

Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff

Canadian retaliation with tariffs of 50%, 25%, and 15% on roughly 700 U.S. products increases bilateral trade pressure after U.S. tariffs on Canadian goods.

Editorial Representation of Brent Kochuba

$NVDA options price a roughly 5.5% earnings move versus a 7.4% average realized post-earnings move over the past 12 months, favoring volatility expansion.

Editorial Representation of Darius Dale

Stocks, particularly the S&P 500, should remain strong through 2026 as risk assets rise faster during the Fourth Turning, albeit with greater volatility.

Bearish

Editorial Representation of Jurrien Timmer

AI price action and related metrics show no bullish momentum, with semiconductor performance and chip leasing rates failing to gain traction.

Editorial Representation of Jeffrey Snider

Core inflation is decelerating as weak consumer demand and retail discounting prevent energy and tariff costs from generating sustained economy-wide price increases.

Editorial Representation of Danielle DiMartino Booth

Private-sector workers’ inflation-adjusted wages and salaries fell 0.4% year over year in the second quarter, the first decline since 2022.

Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts

Gradually rising interest rates slow economic activity but remain absorbable as wages, growth, and supply-demand conditions adjust to higher rates.

Editorial Representation of Liz Ann Sonders

June new home sales fell 10.5% month over month, far below the 1.4% decline expected, while the median new home price dropped 2.3% to $393,800.

1 Week Horizon

And 116 More

1 Month Horizon

And 235 More

1 Year Horizon

And 163 More

Moved Since Yesterday

Editorial Representation of Adam Mancini Mancini · SPY
Adam Mancini
BEARISH BULLISH Week

The S&P futures reclaim of 7,680 triggered upside momentum, with 7,710, 7,716–20, 7,734, 7,746, and 7,794–97 as successive near-term targets.

Editorial Representation of Mohamed El-Erian El-Erian · USO
Mohamed El-Erian
BULLISH BEARISH Week

Oil prices are down another 3%, a near-term decline that is easing upward pressure on global government bond yields.

Editorial Representation of Mohamed El-Erian El-Erian · TLT
Mohamed El-Erian
BEARISH BULLISH Week

US 10-year yields have declined 3 basis points as lower oil prices ease upward pressure on global government bond yields.

Editorial Representation of Steve Hanke Hanke · TLT
Steve Hanke
BULLISH BEARISH Month

Long-bond prices will fall and yields will rise because nearly double-digit broad-money growth will torpedo Treasury efforts to suppress long-end yields.

Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Dale · DXY
Darius Dale
NEUTRAL BEARISH Week

The US dollar faces downside as the growing Bessent’s bridge is bullish for risk assets and reduces demand for dollar safety.

Editorial Representation of Steve Hanke Hanke · Fiscal & Treasury
Steve Hanke
BEARISH NEUTRAL Month

U.S. Treasury buybacks doubled to at least $4 billion are unlikely to earn credibility with bond vigilantes, as comparable market interventions have historically failed.

Editorial Representation of Joseph Wang Wang · Fiscal & Treasury
Joseph Wang
BEARISH BULLISH Month

Treasury financing pressures are likely to remain a dominant force in markets, favoring larger deficits and more issuance rather than easing fiscal conditions.

Editorial Representation of Tom Lee Lee · BTC
Tom Lee
BEARISH BULLISH Year

Crypto is positive as a long-duration asset, with investor value extending beyond seven years supporting a structural constructive outlook.

Where They Diverge

TLT
Inflation
SPY
Fed Policy
Fiscal & Treasury
Growth

Words

TreasuryInflationGoldMarketDollarYieldsFedPricesBitcoinDebtS&PGrowthOilRatesPressureDespiteEconomyPolicyEarningsBondsStocksAboveBondLiquidityLongNear-TermRisingYieldDemandRiskExpectedTowardSignalingBullishConditionsMarketsSpending

Method

How Headge Works

  1. 01

    Discover

    Talking heads publish on their own YouTube channels and X handles. Headge credits the speaker, never the venue that hosted them.

  2. 02

    Place

    Each directional claim lands on one topic, with a horizon and a source. If it cannot be placed confidently, there is No View — not a guess.

  3. 03

    Read

    Start with Latest, then the 1 Week, 1 Month, and 1 Year horizons. Open a portrait for the analyst, or a summary for the topic.

  • Source-Backed

    Every view links to the original post or the exact YouTube moment.

  • Closed Catalog

    A view occupies one named topic. Headge does not invent a new one to make it fit.

  • Mix Is a Count

    Bull, Neutral, and Bear are tallies of unique analysts, not a house call.