MARKET PROFILE · ES
Peter Reznicek
As of 28 September 2026, Peter Reznicek holds 20 current views on Headge, 12 Bullish, 1 Neutral, 7 Bearish. The latest is Bearish on USO over 1 Month. Every view links to the original post or video.
ShadowTrader. Market Profile, TPOs, options; daily ES/SPX support, resistance and value areas.
VIEWS 5
LAST PUBLISHED 1D AGO
Catch-Up
Generated 08:00 ET
The picture is unchanged: the broken downtrends in $QQQ and $SPY point to near-term resilience despite elevated rates, oil and the dollar. That optimism is qualified by the risk that yields resume climbing and pressure equities, while $USO could retreat toward $86 if Iran tensions do not decisively ease. $PEP stands out as a conditional value setup near two-year lows, with earnings on October 8 the key near-term caveat.
At Generation 4 Bullish · 0 Neutral · 1 Bearish
Mix By Horizon
1 Week
4 BULL 0 NEUT 0 BEAR
1 Month
0 BULL 0 NEUT 1 BEAR
1 Year
0 BULL 0 NEUT 0 BEAR
Held
USO
BEARISH
Crude oil may be forming a lower high and could fall back toward $86 if the pattern follows through, absent a definitive end to Iran tensions. Month TLT
BULLISH
Treasury yields may pause their advance here, although they could still take another leg higher and eventually create competition risk for stocks. Week QQQ
BULLISH
The Nasdaq 100 downtrend has snapped, with prices trading above the channel despite elevated rates, oil, and the dollar, signaling near-term resilience. Week SPY
BULLISH
The S&P 500 downtrend has snapped, with prices above the channel despite elevated rates, oil, and the dollar, signaling near-term resilience. WeekA daily catch-up of talking heads, in fifteen minutes.
Sentiment Graph
Today
SENTIMENT GRAPH
Current Views
ANALYSTDIRECTIONTOPICSUMMARYHORIZONFRESH
Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BEARISH Moderate
USO Crude oil may be forming a lower high and could fall back toward $86 if the pattern follows through, absent a definitive end to Iran tensions. LEVELS · TARGET 86
Month 1d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BULLISH Weak
TLT Treasury yields may pause their advance here, although they could still take another leg higher and eventually create competition risk for stocks. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 1d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BULLISH Moderate
QQQ The Nasdaq 100 downtrend has snapped, with prices trading above the channel despite elevated rates, oil, and the dollar, signaling near-term resilience. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 1d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BULLISH Moderate
SPY The S&P 500 downtrend has snapped, with prices above the channel despite elevated rates, oil, and the dollar, signaling near-term resilience. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 1d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BULLISH Moderate
PEP $PEP is attractive at two-year lows, with a potential share purchase if it takes out Friday’s high on Monday despite earnings due October 8. LEVELS · SUPPORT 126
Week 3d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES NEUTRAL Neutral
SPY The S&P has retraced the press-conference move and looks better than yesterday’s close, but the current channel leaves the near-term outlook largely unchanged. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 11d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BULLISH Moderate
SPY The S&P 500’s post-press-conference dip does not reflect conviction from stronger sellers, leaving the near-term market structure inconsistent with a bearish outlook. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 11d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES HIGHER Moderate
Positioning & Vol S&P 500 trading has lacked sustained directional price discovery, with frequent gaps and down closes producing a narrow 25-basis-point move since August's two-day rally. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 13d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BEARISH Strong
TLT Long Treasury bonds face further pressure as the 10-year yield closes strongly near 5%, signaling that the bond market is winning. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 16d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BEARISH Strong
SPY The S&P 500 is likely to retreat aggressively toward recent swing lows or remain trapped in its down channel as bonds lead. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 16d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES TIGHTER Strong
Fed Policy Federal Reserve futures imply roughly a 90% chance of a rate hike next Wednesday, making no increase a major surprise. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 16d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BULLISH Moderate
USO Crude oil broke above the $93.50 resistance area early in the week and remained elevated amid Middle East tensions. LEVELS · RESISTANCE 93.5
Week 16d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BULLISH Moderate
TLT Long-duration Treasuries look more credible than stocks in the near-term battle between equities and bonds after rate-hike odds jumped to almost 90%. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 17d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BEARISH Moderate
SPY The S&P 500 lacks follow-through from new-money buyers while rates and oil rise sharply, with inflation data and a likely FOMC hike posing near-term caution. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 18d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BULLISH Strong
USO Oil is rising sharply with no signs of topping, indicating continued near-term upside pressure and higher crude prices into upcoming catalysts. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 18d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BEARISH Strong
TLT Rates are rising sharply with no signs of topping, signaling continued near-term pressure and lower prices for long-duration Treasury securities. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 18d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES TIGHTER Strong
Fed Policy The Fed has a 70% chance of hiking rates next week, adding a near-term tightening risk alongside tomorrow’s inflation data. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 18d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES HIGHER Weak
Inflation Inflation data due tomorrow represents a near-term risk as rising rates and oil remain active market drivers without signs of topping. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 18d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BULLISH Strong
CBRS $CBRS has strong support around $160 to $180, making downside put-selling attractive for traders willing to own shares at a discount. LEVELS · SUPPORT 160 · SUPPORT 180
Week 20d Peter Reznicek MARKET PROFILE · ES BULLISH Moderate
XLF Financials remain high and tight despite failing to break out, setting up for another push higher that could help lift the broader market. DIRECTION ONLY
Month 23dWordcloud
Direction By Day
| 15 SEP | 16 SEP | 17 SEP | 18 SEP | 19 SEP | 20 SEP | 21 SEP | 22 SEP | 23 SEP | 24 SEP | 25 SEP | 26 SEP | 27 SEP | 28 SEP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Policy | ▼ | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Inflation | ▲ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| PEP | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
| Positioning & Vol | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| QQQ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ |
| SPY | ▼ | ▼ | ▲ | ■ | ■ | ■ | ■ | ■ | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ |
| TLT | ▼ | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ |
| USO | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ |
Sentiment Heatmap
| 15 SEP | 16 SEP | 17 SEP | 18 SEP | 19 SEP | 20 SEP | 21 SEP | 22 SEP | 23 SEP | 24 SEP | 25 SEP | 26 SEP | 27 SEP | 28 SEP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Policy | ▼ | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Inflation | ▲ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| PEP | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
| Positioning & Vol | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| QQQ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ |
| SPY | ▼ | ▼ | ▲ | ■ | ■ | ■ | ■ | ■ | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ |
| TLT | ▼ | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ |
| USO | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ |
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