MACRO ALLOCATION
Bob Elliott
Former Bridgewater executive. Macro liquidity, inflation/growth regimes, portfolio construction and systematic allocation. X is the primary feed.
VIEWS 1
LAST PUBLISHED 6H AGO
Catch-Up
Inflation is expected to stay subdued rather than break into a spiral, with the latest downside surprise outweighing the signal from still-elevated bond yields.
At Generation 1 Lower · 0 Neutral · 0 Bear
Mix By Horizon
1 Week
0 BULL 0 NEUT 0 BEAR
1 Month
1 BULL 0 NEUT 0 BEAR
1 Year
0 BULL 0 NEUT 0 BEAR
New Views
Inflation
LOWER
Inflation is likely to remain subdued rather than enter an inflationary spiral, following another downside surprise and despite elevated bond yields. MonthA daily catch-up of talking heads, in fifteen minutes.
Current Views
ANALYSTDIRECTIONTOPICSUMMARYHORIZONFRESH
LOWER Strong
Growth Consumer demand is showing mounting exhaustion across official and high-frequency private data, creating a materially larger drag on growth than AI’s current economic contribution. DIRECTION ONLY
Month 6hConsumer demand is showing mounting exhaustion across official and high-frequency private data, creating a materially larger drag on growth than AI’s current economic contribution.
LOWER Strong
Inflation Inflation is likely to remain subdued rather than enter an inflationary spiral, following another downside surprise and despite elevated bond yields. DIRECTION ONLY
Month 1dInflation is likely to remain subdued rather than enter an inflationary spiral, following another downside surprise and despite elevated bond yields.
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Direction By Day
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| Inflation | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ |
Sentiment Heatmap
| 01 AUG | 02 AUG | 03 AUG | 04 AUG | 05 AUG | 06 AUG | 07 AUG | 08 AUG | 09 AUG | 10 AUG | 11 AUG | 12 AUG | 13 AUG | 14 AUG | |
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| Inflation | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ |
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