GAMMA · 0DTE · FUNNEL
Brent Kochuba
SpotGamma. Dealer positioning, gamma levels, 0DTE, OPEX dynamics. Direction public; full levels often paywalled.
Catch-Up
Near-term market mechanics remain supportive: compressed $SPY volatility and persistent negative gamma are seen lifting the index into next week, with 7,900–8,000 the area in focus. The caveat is that unusually cheap short-dated volatility sits alongside firmer longer-dated demand ahead of Jackson Hole, leaving next week’s expiration as a potential release point for volatility.
A daily catch-up of talking heads, in fifteen minutes.
Current Views
VIX term structure is steep as short-dated pre-Jackson Hole volatility is compressed while longer-dated volatility remains bid, with next week’s expiration potentially releasing volatility.
SPY implied volatility and put demand are unlikely to matter for at least another four to five sessions despite exceptionally low IV and elevated call skew.
SPX is being lifted by crushed volatility through persistent negative gamma into next week, with the 7,900 to 8,000 area in focus.
SPX volatility is being crushed by Monday implied volatility near 7%, while next week’s OPEX offers the first opportunity for volatility to re-bid.
Wordcloud
Direction By Day
| 01 AUG | 02 AUG | 03 AUG | 04 AUG | 05 AUG | 06 AUG | 07 AUG | 08 AUG | 09 AUG | 10 AUG | 11 AUG | 12 AUG | 13 AUG | 14 AUG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Positioning & Vol | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ |
| SPY | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ |
Sentiment Heatmap
| 01 AUG | 02 AUG | 03 AUG | 04 AUG | 05 AUG | 06 AUG | 07 AUG | 08 AUG | 09 AUG | 10 AUG | 11 AUG | 12 AUG | 13 AUG | 14 AUG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Positioning & Vol | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ |
| SPY | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ |
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