S&P 500
$SPYAs of 28 September 2026, 28 tracked analysts hold a current view on S&P 500: 12 Analysts Bullish · 0 Analysts Neutral · 16 Analysts Bearish. Every view links to the analyst's own post or video moment.
Catch-Up
Generated 08:00 ET
The picture is unchanged: near-term technicians point to a repaired uptrend and potential new highs, but several make that constructive case conditional on momentum confirmation or key support holding. The central tension remains headline index strength versus weak breadth, with higher Treasury yields seen as the main pressure point for rate-sensitive and equal-weight equities. Longer-horizon warnings extend to political and geopolitical risks, while a resolution in the Strait of Hormuz conflict is framed as a potential year-end catalyst.
A daily catch-up of talking heads, in fifteen minutes.
Sentiment Graph
Analyst Views on S&P 500
The S&P is likely to make a deep trend move after trading around the 7758 magnet, with 7794 and 7812–7822 identified as next upside levels.
The S&P 500 made a higher low and must hold this week’s higher-low support to preserve the intermediate-term constructive setup.
The S&P 500 downtrend has snapped, with prices above the channel despite elevated rates, oil, and the dollar, signaling near-term resilience.
The S&P 500 would enter a bullish momentum phase if RSI breaks above 60, with price breakouts confirmed by that threshold often leading to sustainable advances.
The S&P 500 can remain supported by technology strength, with rebounds in several lagging sectors potentially improving conditions into October.
The S&P remains constructive despite closing marginally lower, with a chart that still presents a difficult bearish case for traders.
US equities are positioned for a green September, signaling a bullish near-term outlook for the S&P 500 through month-end.
The S&P's pain trade remains higher following the rate hike, suggesting markets have absorbed tighter policy without a damaging risk-off response.
The S&P must keep rising to support consumer spending and prevent fiscal math from deteriorating as interest costs mount on U.S. debt.
The stock market has historically risen over time despite military conflicts, as wars end and the economy and earnings continue growing long term.
U.S. stocks have returned about 10% annually over the past century, though individual calendar-year returns almost never match that average.
The stock market is expected to move higher as continued upside earnings surprises are supported by a resilient US economy.
The S&P 500 secular bull market is expected to peak in the second half of 2027 or first half of 2028 before a global secular bear market.
The S&P could fall toward 6,690 in 2027 if earnings estimates weaken and elevated rates force valuation multiples down to 17x.
The S&P 500 faces crash risk similar to 1973 and 1999/2000, when severely deteriorated market breadth preceded declines of nearly 50%.
Equity markets could become messy if geopolitical conditions remain unchanged heading into Democratic control of Congress, amid tax, AI-trade, and political-turmoil risks.
The average S&P 500 stock has reached new all-time highs for four consecutive months, while September is on pace to be the first decline since March.
Market breadth and rates signal a bearish tipping point for stocks, with weakening conditions raising downside risk for the S&P 500.
Stock market strength is masking underlying breadth weakness beneath the surface despite record highs, signaling a less resilient near-term equity backdrop.
Stocks will likely struggle over the next several months until the 10-year yield reaches a near-term peak, as higher rates remain equities’ dominant risk.
The S&P faces a 25% to 40% decline after the midterms, once support keeping markets together for roughly six more weeks fades.
Stocks increasingly carry bond-like characteristics, implying diminished equity upside and greater sensitivity to interest-rate conditions over the medium term.
The S&P 500 lacks a visible catalyst for its next bull-market leg as earnings-growth, AI, geopolitical, yield, and oil concerns sustain market churn.
A breakdown of the fragile China truce or an AI-enabled security failure would be bearish for stocks despite the AI trade's current resilience.
The S&P 500 faces renewed downside pressure as bears return, signaling a tactical bearish outlook for the broader U.S. equity market.
Artificially suppressing rates in an inflationary environment could push interest rates toward 15% and drive the stock market down 50%.
The S&P 500 could shift from grinding lower to dropping lower over the next week if oil continues rising, with 7,600 the key level.
Risk asset markets face a difficult period as stronger economic activity, fading liquidity and prospective Federal Reserve tightening recreate conditions unfavorable for equities.
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Direction By Day
| 15 SEP | 16 SEP | 17 SEP | 18 SEP | 19 SEP | 20 SEP | 21 SEP | 22 SEP | 23 SEP | 24 SEP | 25 SEP | 26 SEP | 27 SEP | 28 SEP | |
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| Adam Mancini | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
| Andreas Steno Larsen | ▲ | ▲ | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Bob Elliott | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Brent Kochuba | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Brian Shannon | ■ | ■ | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
| Cem Karsan | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Chris Ciovacco | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Darius Dale | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▼ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
| David Keller | ▲ | ▼ | ▼ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
| David Woo | ▼ | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | · | · | · | · |
| JC Parets | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ |
| Jason Shapiro | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · |
| Jim Bianco | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Joseph Wang | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Jurrien Timmer | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | · | · |
| Keith Mccullough | ▼ | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Lance Roberts | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▲ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Liz Ann Sonders | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Luke Gromen | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Mark Newton | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · |
| Michael Kantrowitz | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Peter Reznicek | ▼ | ▼ | ▲ | ■ | ■ | ■ | ■ | ■ | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ |
| Peter Schiff | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Tom Lee | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · |
Sentiment Heatmap
| 15 SEP | 16 SEP | 17 SEP | 18 SEP | 19 SEP | 20 SEP | 21 SEP | 22 SEP | 23 SEP | 24 SEP | 25 SEP | 26 SEP | 27 SEP | 28 SEP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Mancini | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
| Andreas Steno Larsen | ▲ | ▲ | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Bob Elliott | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Brent Kochuba | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Brian Shannon | ■ | ■ | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
| Cem Karsan | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Chris Ciovacco | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Darius Dale | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▼ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
| David Keller | ▲ | ▼ | ▼ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
| David Woo | ▼ | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | · | · | · | · |
| JC Parets | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ |
| Jason Shapiro | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · |
| Jim Bianco | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Joseph Wang | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Jurrien Timmer | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | · | · |
| Keith Mccullough | ▼ | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Lance Roberts | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▲ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Liz Ann Sonders | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Luke Gromen | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Mark Newton | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · |
| Michael Kantrowitz | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Peter Reznicek | ▼ | ▼ | ▲ | ■ | ■ | ■ | ■ | ■ | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ |
| Peter Schiff | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ |
| Tom Lee | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · |