S&P 500

$SPY

As of 28 September 2026, 28 tracked analysts hold a current view on S&P 500: 12 Analysts Bullish · 0 Analysts Neutral · 16 Analysts Bearish. Every view links to the analyst's own post or video moment.

Catch-Up

Generated 08:00 ET

The picture is unchanged: near-term technicians point to a repaired uptrend and potential new highs, but several make that constructive case conditional on momentum confirmation or key support holding. The central tension remains headline index strength versus weak breadth, with higher Treasury yields seen as the main pressure point for rate-sensitive and equal-weight equities. Longer-horizon warnings extend to political and geopolitical risks, while a resolution in the Strait of Hormuz conflict is framed as a potential year-end catalyst.

At Generation 6 Analysts Bullish · 0 Analysts Neutral · 12 Analysts Bearish
Since Catch-Up 5 Analysts Bullish · 0 Analysts Neutral · 10 Analysts Bearish
Mix By Horizon
1 Week
1 Month
1 Year
New Views
Editorial Representation of Adam Mancini Adam Mancini
BULLISH
The S&P 500 is expected to chop at low volatility while holding 7758 support, with 7781, 7792, and 7812–7820 as the next upside levels. Week
Held
Editorial Representation of Peter Reznicek Peter Reznicek
BULLISH
The S&P 500 downtrend has snapped, with prices above the channel despite elevated rates, oil, and the dollar, signaling near-term resilience. Week
Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff Peter Schiff
BEARISH
The S&P 500 faces crash risk similar to 1973 and 1999/2000, when severely deteriorated market breadth preceded declines of nearly 50%. Year
Editorial Representation of Joseph Wang Joseph Wang
BEARISH
Equity markets could become messy if geopolitical conditions remain unchanged heading into Democratic control of Congress, amid tax, AI-trade, and political-turmoil risks. Month
Editorial Representation of JC Parets JC Parets
BEARISH
The average S&P 500 stock has reached new all-time highs for four consecutive months, while September is on pace to be the first decline since March. Week
Editorial Representation of Chris Ciovacco Chris Ciovacco
BEARISH
Market breadth and rates signal a bearish tipping point for stocks, with weakening conditions raising downside risk for the S&P 500. Month
Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts Lance Roberts
BEARISH
The $SPY masks broad equity weakness as elevated Treasury yields pressure rate-sensitive sectors, small caps, and equal-weight stocks beneath headline index highs. Month
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller
BULLISH
The S&P 500 would enter a bullish momentum phase if RSI breaks above 60, with price breakouts confirmed by that threshold often leading to sustainable advances. Week
Editorial Representation of Brian Shannon Brian Shannon
BULLISH
The S&P 500 should reach new all-time highs next week if its recent intermediate-term higher low continues to hold. Week
Editorial Representation of Liz Ann Sonders Liz Ann Sonders
BEARISH
Stock market strength is masking underlying breadth weakness beneath the surface despite record highs, signaling a less resilient near-term equity backdrop. Month
Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Darius Dale
BULLISH
The equity market has substantial upside as a coiled spring, with the advance potentially persisting through 2027 and perhaps into 2028. Year
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller
BEARISH
The S&P 500 has limited meaningful upside while breadth remains weak, with long-term indicators below levels consistent with bull markets. Month
Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts Lance Roberts
BEARISH
Higher Treasury yields would hurt the S&P more severely as refinancing costs rise and capital rotates toward risk-free fixed income. Year
Editorial Representation of Michael Kantrowitz Michael Kantrowitz
BEARISH
Stocks will likely struggle over the next several months until the 10-year yield reaches a near-term peak, as higher rates remain equities’ dominant risk. Month
Editorial Representation of Cem Karsan Cem Karsan
BEARISH
The S&P faces a 25% to 40% decline after the midterms, once support keeping markets together for roughly six more weeks fades. Month
Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Darius Dale
BULLISH
An exit from the Strait of Hormuz conflict could create an incredibly positive backdrop for a Santa Trump rally into and through year-end. Month
Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff Peter Schiff
BEARISH
U.S. stocks face mounting downside pressure as ten-year Treasury yields extend a powerful rise from above 5.1%, a long-standing position rather than a fresh call. Month
Editorial Representation of Bob Elliott Bob Elliott
BEARISH
Stocks increasingly carry bond-like characteristics, implying diminished equity upside and greater sensitivity to interest-rate conditions over the medium term. Month
Gone
Editorial Representation of Joseph Wang Joseph Wang
BULLISH
The S&P would surge across risk assets if mounting political pressure forces a policy reversal in the near term. Week
Editorial Representation of Mark Newton Mark Newton
BULLISH
The S&P 500 can remain supported by technology strength, with rebounds in several lagging sectors potentially improving conditions into October. Month
Editorial Representation of Jason Shapiro Jason Shapiro
BULLISH
The S&P remains constructive despite closing marginally lower, with a chart that still presents a difficult bearish case for traders. Week
Editorial Representation of Tom Lee Tom Lee
BULLISH
US equities are positioned for a green September, signaling a bullish near-term outlook for the S&P 500 through month-end. Week
Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts Lance Roberts
BULLISH
The S&P 500’s improving market momentum puts another all-time high within reach as near-term trading conditions remain supportive. Week

A daily catch-up of talking heads, in fifteen minutes.

Sentiment Graph

Last 30 Days
Today
SENTIMENT GRAPH

Analyst Views on S&P 500

12 Analysts Bullish · 0 Analysts Neutral · 16 Analysts Bearish
Bullish 12
Editorial Representation of Adam Mancini Adam Mancini BULLISH Moderate
Week 1h

The S&P is likely to make a deep trend move after trading around the 7758 magnet, with 7794 and 7812–7822 identified as next upside levels.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Brian Shannon Brian Shannon BULLISH Moderate
Week 8h

The S&P 500 made a higher low and must hold this week’s higher-low support to preserve the intermediate-term constructive setup.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Peter Reznicek Peter Reznicek BULLISH Moderate
Week 1d

The S&P 500 downtrend has snapped, with prices above the channel despite elevated rates, oil, and the dollar, signaling near-term resilience.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of David Keller David Keller BULLISH Moderate
Week 2d

The S&P 500 would enter a bullish momentum phase if RSI breaks above 60, with price breakouts confirmed by that threshold often leading to sustainable advances.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Mark Newton Mark Newton BULLISH Moderate
Month 5d

The S&P 500 can remain supported by technology strength, with rebounds in several lagging sectors potentially improving conditions into October.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Jason Shapiro Jason Shapiro BULLISH Moderate
Week 5d

The S&P remains constructive despite closing marginally lower, with a chart that still presents a difficult bearish case for traders.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Tom Lee Tom Lee BULLISH Moderate
Week 6d

US equities are positioned for a green September, signaling a bullish near-term outlook for the S&P 500 through month-end.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Andreas Steno Larsen Andreas Steno Larsen BULLISH Moderate
Week 11d

The S&P's pain trade remains higher following the rate hike, suggesting markets have absorbed tighter policy without a damaging risk-off response.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Luke Gromen Luke Gromen BULLISH Moderate
Year 14d

The S&P must keep rising to support consumer spending and prevent fiscal math from deteriorating as interest costs mount on U.S. debt.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Charlie Bilello Charlie Bilello BULLISH Moderate
Year 28d

The stock market has historically risen over time despite military conflicts, as wars end and the economy and earnings continue growing long term.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Ben Carlson Ben Carlson BULLISH Weak
Year 31d

U.S. stocks have returned about 10% annually over the past century, though individual calendar-year returns almost never match that average.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Ed Yardeni Ed Yardeni BULLISH Strong
Year 47d

The stock market is expected to move higher as continued upside earnings surprises are supported by a resilient US economy.

$SPY
Bearish 16
Editorial Representation of Darius Dale Darius Dale BEARISH Strong
Year 38m

The S&P 500 secular bull market is expected to peak in the second half of 2027 or first half of 2028 before a global secular bear market.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Lance Roberts Lance Roberts BEARISH Moderate
Year 1h

The S&P could fall toward 6,690 in 2027 if earnings estimates weaken and elevated rates force valuation multiples down to 17x.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Peter Schiff Peter Schiff BEARISH Strong
Year 2d

The S&P 500 faces crash risk similar to 1973 and 1999/2000, when severely deteriorated market breadth preceded declines of nearly 50%.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Joseph Wang Joseph Wang BEARISH Moderate
Month 2d

Equity markets could become messy if geopolitical conditions remain unchanged heading into Democratic control of Congress, amid tax, AI-trade, and political-turmoil risks.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of JC Parets JC Parets BEARISH Weak
Week 2d

The average S&P 500 stock has reached new all-time highs for four consecutive months, while September is on pace to be the first decline since March.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Chris Ciovacco Chris Ciovacco BEARISH Moderate
Month 2d

Market breadth and rates signal a bearish tipping point for stocks, with weakening conditions raising downside risk for the S&P 500.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Liz Ann Sonders Liz Ann Sonders BEARISH Moderate
Month 3d

Stock market strength is masking underlying breadth weakness beneath the surface despite record highs, signaling a less resilient near-term equity backdrop.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Michael Kantrowitz Michael Kantrowitz BEARISH Strong
Month 4d

Stocks will likely struggle over the next several months until the 10-year yield reaches a near-term peak, as higher rates remain equities’ dominant risk.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Cem Karsan Cem Karsan BEARISH Strong
Month 4d

The S&P faces a 25% to 40% decline after the midterms, once support keeping markets together for roughly six more weeks fades.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Bob Elliott Bob Elliott BEARISH Moderate
Month 5d

Stocks increasingly carry bond-like characteristics, implying diminished equity upside and greater sensitivity to interest-rate conditions over the medium term.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Jurrien Timmer Jurrien Timmer BEARISH Moderate
Month 6d

The S&P 500 lacks a visible catalyst for its next bull-market leg as earnings-growth, AI, geopolitical, yield, and oil concerns sustain market churn.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of David Woo David Woo BEARISH Moderate
Year 8d

A breakdown of the fragile China truce or an AI-enabled security failure would be bearish for stocks despite the AI trade's current resilience.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Keith McCullough Keith McCullough BEARISH Moderate
Week 12d

The S&P 500 faces renewed downside pressure as bears return, signaling a tactical bearish outlook for the broader U.S. equity market.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Jim Bianco Jim Bianco BEARISH Strong
Month 14d

Artificially suppressing rates in an inflationary environment could push interest rates toward 15% and drive the stock market down 50%.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Brent Kochuba Brent Kochuba BEARISH Moderate
Week 18d

The S&P 500 could shift from grinding lower to dropping lower over the next week if oil continues rising, with 7,600 the key level.

$SPY
Editorial Representation of Michael Howell Michael Howell BEARISH Strong
Month 45d

Risk asset markets face a difficult period as stronger economic activity, fading liquidity and prospective Federal Reserve tightening recreate conditions unfavorable for equities.

$SPY

Wordcloud

S&PStocksMarketStockEquityAboveBreadthHighsAverageConditionsMarketsNear-TermRatesRiskTreasuryUpsideYieldsAll-TimeBackdropBeneathBullDeclineDespiteDownsideElevatedFacesInvestorsMonthsPressureReachRiseSeverelySignalingSPXWeaknessAdvanceAdvancesAI-TradeAmidBearish

Direction By Day

15 SEP16 SEP17 SEP18 SEP19 SEP20 SEP21 SEP22 SEP23 SEP24 SEP25 SEP26 SEP27 SEP28 SEP
Adam Mancini▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲
Andreas Steno Larsen▲▲·▲▲▲▲▲······
Bob Elliott▼········▼▼▼▼▼
Brent Kochuba▼·············
Brian Shannon■■··▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲
Cem Karsan·········▼▼▼▼▼
Chris Ciovacco▲▲··▲▲▲▲▲··▼▼▼
Darius Dale···▲▲▲▲▼▲▲▲▲▲▲
David Keller▲▼▼▲▲▲▲▲▼▼▼▲▲▲
David Woo▼····▼▼▼▼▼····
JC Parets▲▲▲·········▼▼
Jason Shapiro▼·······▲▲▲▲▲·
Jim Bianco▼▼▼▼▼·········
Joseph Wang··▼▼▼▼▼▼▲▲▲▲▼▼
Jurrien Timmer·▲▲▲▲▲·▼▼▼▼▼··
Keith Mccullough▼·▼▼▼▼▼·······
Lance Roberts▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▲▼▼▼▼▼
Liz Ann Sonders···········▼▼▼
Luke Gromen▲▲▲▲▲·········
Mark Newton·▲▲▲▲▲··▲▲▲▲▲·
Michael Kantrowitz··········▼▼▼▼
Peter Reznicek▼▼▲■■■■■····▲▲
Peter Schiff·········▼▼▼▼▼
Tom Lee▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲·

Sentiment Heatmap

15 SEP16 SEP17 SEP18 SEP19 SEP20 SEP21 SEP22 SEP23 SEP24 SEP25 SEP26 SEP27 SEP28 SEP
Adam Mancini▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲
Andreas Steno Larsen▲▲·▲▲▲▲▲······
Bob Elliott▼········▼▼▼▼▼
Brent Kochuba▼·············
Brian Shannon■■··▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲
Cem Karsan·········▼▼▼▼▼
Chris Ciovacco▲▲··▲▲▲▲▲··▼▼▼
Darius Dale···▲▲▲▲▼▲▲▲▲▲▲
David Keller▲▼▼▲▲▲▲▲▼▼▼▲▲▲
David Woo▼····▼▼▼▼▼····
JC Parets▲▲▲·········▼▼
Jason Shapiro▼·······▲▲▲▲▲·
Jim Bianco▼▼▼▼▼·········
Joseph Wang··▼▼▼▼▼▼▲▲▲▲▼▼
Jurrien Timmer·▲▲▲▲▲·▼▼▼▼▼··
Keith Mccullough▼·▼▼▼▼▼·······
Lance Roberts▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▼▲▼▼▼▼▼
Liz Ann Sonders···········▼▼▼
Luke Gromen▲▲▲▲▲·········
Mark Newton·▲▲▲▲▲··▲▲▲▲▲·
Michael Kantrowitz··········▼▼▼▼
Peter Reznicek▼▼▲■■■■■····▲▲
Peter Schiff·········▼▼▼▼▼
Tom Lee▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲▲·