PASSIVE FLOWS · STRUCTURE
Mike Green
As of 29 September 2026, Mike Green holds 7 current views on Headge, 4 Bullish, 3 Bearish. The latest is Easier on Fed Policy over 1 Month. Every view links to the original post or video.
Tier1 Alpha. Passive flows, market structure and liquidity fragility. X is the public feed.
VIEWS 1
LAST PUBLISHED 5D AGO
Catch-Up
Generated 08:00 ET
The picture is unchanged on Fed policy: credibility alone should not force rate hikes, leaving scope for a less restrictive path than hawkish expectations imply. The prior calls on negative implied correlation and higher short-rate expectations are no longer in view.
At Generation 1 Easier · 0 Neutral · 0 Bear
Mix By Horizon
1 Week
0 BULL 0 NEUT 0 BEAR
1 Month
1 BULL 0 NEUT 0 BEAR
1 Year
0 BULL 0 NEUT 0 BEAR
Held
Fed Policy
EASIER
Fed policy should not require rate hikes solely to preserve credibility, implying a less restrictive path than hawkish calls anticipate. MonthGone
Positioning & Vol
HIGHER
Implied correlation could fall into negative territory in 2026, extending the market’s record-low correlation regime and creating a mirror image of 2010. Month SHY
TIGHTER
Short-term rate expectations are being revised higher, rather than markets becoming nervous about holding long-term debt amid current Treasury-market moves. WeekA daily catch-up of talking heads, in fifteen minutes.
Sentiment Graph
Today
SENTIMENT GRAPH
Current Views
ANALYSTDIRECTIONTOPICSUMMARYHORIZONFRESH
EASIER Moderate
Fed Policy Fed policy should not require rate hikes solely to preserve credibility, implying a less restrictive path than hawkish calls anticipate. DIRECTION ONLY
Month 5d HIGHER Moderate
Positioning & Vol Implied correlation could fall into negative territory in 2026, extending the market’s record-low correlation regime and creating a mirror image of 2010. DIRECTION ONLY
Month 5d TIGHTER Moderate
SHY Short-term rate expectations are being revised higher, rather than markets becoming nervous about holding long-term debt amid current Treasury-market moves. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 6d BEARISH Strong
Positioning & Vol Passive investing is the most important factor in market price behavior today and could ultimately end very badly. DIRECTION ONLY
Year 16d LOWER Strong
Growth Household financial stress is nearing a breaking point that could trigger consolidation into shared homes and a catastrophic reduction in consumer spending. DIRECTION ONLY
Month 18d HIGHER Strong
Fiscal & Treasury US fiscal stress remains a serious and dangerous situation, while Treasury debt-management actions can only affect government interest costs rather than taxes or spending. DIRECTION ONLY
Year 19d BULLISH Strong
Miga.mu $MASTR is positioned to go parabolic as the current psychological market environment creates conditions for an intense speculative momentum surge. DIRECTION ONLY
Week 40dWordcloud
Direction By Day
| 15 SEP | 16 SEP | 17 SEP | 18 SEP | 19 SEP | 20 SEP | 21 SEP | 22 SEP | 23 SEP | 24 SEP | 25 SEP | 26 SEP | 27 SEP | 28 SEP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Policy | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
| Growth | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Positioning & Vol | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · |
| SHY | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | · |
Sentiment Heatmap
| 15 SEP | 16 SEP | 17 SEP | 18 SEP | 19 SEP | 20 SEP | 21 SEP | 22 SEP | 23 SEP | 24 SEP | 25 SEP | 26 SEP | 27 SEP | 28 SEP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed Policy | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
| Growth | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · |
| Positioning & Vol | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | · | · | · | · | · | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ | · |
| SHY | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | · | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | ▼ | · |
Comments
0 REMARKS